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Odds on Liverpool to beat Manchester City 2018-01-14

12th January 2018 / lee
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Liverpool are boasting some pretty strong home form this season. Can they succeed where everyone else (including themselves) have failed this season and actually beat Manchester City in the English top flight? Well, their form at Anfield should make punters sit up and take notice at least because the Reds have been very strong on Merseyside. They are undefeated with a W6 D5 record at Anfield this season in the top flight and they have won their last two there, firing off seven goals in their victories over Swansea and Leicester combined. If revenge is a motivator too, then Jurgen Klopp’s men will have plenty of fire in their bellies after losing 5-0 at Man City back in early September. That is just one of two losses they have suffered this season.

Liverpool v Man City Odds*

Manchester city 13/10, Liverpool 21/10, Draw 5/2* (Betting Odds Taken from January 12th at 7:41 p.m.)

Liverpool are unbeaten in thirteen league games home and away now and for all of their talk about having a poor defence, they have been rock solid on home soil this season. They have only conceded the four goals on home soil in the Premier League this season which is fantastic and a far cry from the defensive mess that they have been out on the road, certainly. That equates to them having taken a clean sheet in 64% of their home games this season and they may well make Manchester City sweat in this fixture.

Importantly they did lose Philippe Coutinho to Barcelona, who has been in fantastic form recently, so how much will that affect what the Reds do in this one? That is a pretty big gap to try and fill, however, they do have a wealth of attacking talent through the likes of Sadio Mane, Adam Lallana and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain wanted a move to get into a more central role and he could be given a shot there. The Reds had to manage without Coutinho earlier in the season through injury and they will have to cope again and the players that are still there have to step it up.

So with Liverpool averaging just under two goals per game on home soil this season in the Premier League, they do have the attacking prowess to open up the Citizens. Mo Salah, who has been carrying a knock has been on fire all season with seventeen league goals scored and they need him fit and raring to go because he has the strength, pace and movement to cause a bit of havoc in the City back line, which hasn’t look all that great lately. In particular John Stones had a shocker in trying to handle the Bristol City attack in their midweek EFL Cup semi-final first leg. Mo Salah has ten goals in his last ten league games and is the William Hill First Goalscorer favourite.

But they are taking on the Champions elect in Manchester City and this won’t be a walk in the park for Liverpool obviously. City have won ten of their eleven away games this season (D1) and they have shown a lot of resilience as well on their travels this season. Six of their ten wins have been by one goal margins only and they have had to dig things out at the likes of Newcastle, Huddersfield, West Brom and Bournemouth this season in uncomfortable situations. But at the end of the day, they have gotten it done. Pep Guardiola’s men have averaged over two goals per game and this is likely to sail over the 2.5 goals mark, 8/15 odds at William Hill* (Betting Odds Taken from January 12th at 7:41 p.m.). City have only conceded the five away goals this season, keeping a clean sheet in 64% of their road games.

But then you go back and look at Liverpool again and see the home from in the head to head that they have over Manchester City. The Reds have won their last two league home games against City and they are undefeated in their last fourteen Premier League home games against Manchester City, winning ten of those fixtures. So the head to head is well in their favour. While a Liverpool win would have no effect on City’s title challenge, it would at least instill some huge belief in the Reds that they can still push on and land a top-four finish, even without Coutinho.

Home and away against the citizens in all competitions, Liverpool are W4 D2 L1 in their last seven against Manchester City and could be the ones to break Pep Guardiola’s men for the first time this season in the Premier League.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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