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Bet365 offer even money odds on Real Madrid to beat Atletico Madrid

28th September 2018 / lee
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The big Madrid derby, the first of the season happens on the weekend in La Liga. This is going to be one of the highlights of the weekend’s football action. Real Madrid are sitting in second place in the league, one place and two points ahead of their rivals Atletico. There will be some added pressure on home side Real to come up with the win after suffering a big loss in midweek.

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Odds*

Real Madrid even money
Draw 5/2
Atletico Madrid 11/4
* (betting odds taken on September 28th, 2018 at 4:59 pm)

Real Madrid recovery

Real Madrid needs to pick themselves up after they were floored in midweek against Sevilla. In Wednesday night’s action in La Liga, Barcelona had suffered a shock defeat against bottom side Leganes and so Real Madrid had a chance to climb above the Catalans with a result out at Sevilla later that evening. But Los Blancos suffered their first defeat of the season and it was a crushing one at 3-0.

So for the first time this season they will have their resolve tested in having to recover from a loss. Losing momentum before a big Madrid derby is the last thing that they would have wanted, but at least in such a big game, there is not going to be any question about mentality. They are going to be up for this on home soil against their city rivals. Home soil is where Real Madrid have flourished as well this season.

Home strengths key

Real Madrid has won all three of their home games in La Liga this season, scoring a total of seven goals across that sequence of games. They have taken a clean sheet in two of those three as well so their home form stands up. That is going to be important for them to try and break out three points in this derby match, after having drawn their last three against Atletico in all competitions (90 minutes).

The most recent was the European Super Cup back in August, which Real did go on to lose in extra time. But they are on an unbeaten run of four matches on home soil in all competitions against Atletico and with a W1 D3 record. So that is a solid pointer that they aren’t likely to lose this La Liga fixture on the weekend. The question is, can they find that winning touch now they need it most?

Narrow Margins

If the win comes for Real Madrid then it is likely to be by the narrowest of margins. A Real Madrid to win by a 1 goal margin is at 11/4 odds* (betting odds taken on September 28th, 2018 at 5:23 pm). Considering that they have so far only concerned the one goal on home soil this season and they will be facing an Atletico side who have not been at their best on their travels yet, that does appear to offer some value.

Atletico Madrid are just W1 D1 L1 in their three away games this season and with just the one clean sheet on the board. So there should be chances for Real Madrid in this one, although the outcome of the match is likely to stay under 2.5 goals. Five of the last six Madrid derby matches between the two sides at the Bernabeu have finished under the goal line.

Madrid derby predictions

Real Madrid needs to show the mental strengths to bounce back from that harrowing midweek set back. This is the perfect opportunity in which to show their strengths and their true selves. With the threat of Gareth Bale and youngsters like Isco and Asensio, they are valuae to right those midweek wrong and get a narrow win in the first Madrid derby of the season.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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