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Odds on Arsenal to beat Chelsea 2019-05-29

27th May 2019 / lee
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It’s a London derby set for the Europa League Final. The action is being played in Baku, Azerbaijan on Wednesday night. That will be an 8.00 pm kick off. There was nothing to choose between them in the Premier League meetings this season.

So with them looking fairly evenly matched, it may be worth looking to the To Lift The Trophy market where the odds on Arsenal to beat Chelsea to the silverware is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 26th, 2019 at 9:22 p.m.).

Chelsea v Arsenal Winner Odds*

Chelsea 29/20
Arsenal 21/10
Draw 12/5
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 26th, 2019 at 9:22 p.m.)

Strange Final

The fact that this is being played so far from London, where travel for fans has been so incredibly difficult to secure, coupled with UEFA giving both clubs being given a really low-ball quota of tickets to start with, it is probably going to create a strange atmosphere in Baku. Of course, the location of the final was set way before this season’s competition even started.

It is something that the fans and the clubs themselves will have to deal with. For Arsenal, they may have a little bit of an average because they have been to the Baku Olympic Stadium already this season. That was when they faced Qarabag in the Group Stage of this season’s Europa League, so they know exactly what they are walking into.

Arsenal’s scoring threat

Of the two sides, Arsenal do look the more likely of the two to be clinical in front of goal. In their semi-final tie against Valencia, Arsenal won 7-3 on aggregate. Pierre Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette shared all seven of those goals between them, scoring 4 and 3 respectively.

That is the kind of exciting, explosive scoring power that Chelsea can’t match up to. Back in their January league meeting at the Emirates, Chelsea managed just one shot on target in the entire game. So Arsenal’s extra attacking edge could be the difference on the night. It may end up being a really big factor for the Europa League final.

When you do look at Chelsea in comparison, really it is Eden Hazard getting chances for them, and there’s no-one else in the Chelsea side who are doing much of anything in front of goal and haven’t done all season. Hazard has pretty much carried the Blues on his shoulders.

Attack v Defence

It seems pretty obvious, but this game is likely to boil down to Arsenal’s superior attack taking on Chelsea’s superior defence. So that is what is really creating the balance and the expectancy of it being a tight game. During the Premier League season, the two of them traded home wins and that leaves Arsenal with a win in two of their last three against the Blues.

Actually looking back further the Gunners have suffered just the one defeat in their last eight games against Chelsea in all competitions (W3 D4). One of those wins were in the 2017 FA Cup Final as well, when Arsenal were heavy, heavy underdogs on the day, but turned out a brilliant performance to topple the Blues.

Chelsea have remained undefeated in this season’s Europa League, posting a W11 D3 record. They are undefeated in a record 17 straight fixtures in the competition not, going back to their title success in 2013.

Unai Emery

It’s probably not worth overlooking Arsenal’s manager either. Unai Emery is a bit of a specialist at this competition. He won the competition on three consecutive seasons with Sevilla between 2014 and 2016. So he is in line for his fourth Europa League title, which would be some record for him. It would be Arsenal’s first Europa League title. They did reach the semifinals last year in what was their debut campaign, losing there to eventual winners Atletico Madrid.


There is another key factor in all of this. Chelsea have a place in the Champions League next season through their league finishing position. Arsenal don’t. So the Gunners have extra motivation to go out and win in Baku because doing so will see them join Chelsea in the Champions League next season. If they don’t win, they will be back in the Europa League instead next term.

So that’s a huge extra incentive for them. Chelsea are a pragmatic and somewhat predictable team. On the other hand Arsenal have that touch of being a creative, enigmatic side who are hair-raising at the back but exhilarating going forward. They know what Baku is all about, they have better forward power and a place in the Champions League to shoot for. It may tip the balance.

The odds on Arsenal to beat Chelsea in 90 minutes is at 21/10* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 26th, 2019 at 9:22 p.m.).

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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