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Odds on England to beat Sweden – Betting Preview, World Cup 2018

6th July 2018 / lee
England vs Sweden - World Cup 2018

England vs Sweden Betting Preview – World Cup 2018, 7th July – 3.00 p.m

The Three Lions have reached the quarter finals of the World Cup, which was surely a realistic target for them ahead of the event. Now everything else becomes a bonus. There is no other previous World Cup winner left in the bottom half of the draw now and the winner of this tie will go on to face either Croatia or Russia for a place in the final. England had to really dig deep and show a lot of character to get past Colombia in the round of sixteen, and will have to do so again against a well-organised Sweden side.

England vs Sweden Odds*

England 10/11
Draw 12/5
Sweden 15/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on July 4th, 2018 at 7.45 p.m.)

It has not always been the smoothest of rides from England at the 2018 World Cup but they are on the brink of a semi-final appearance. In order to lock down a place in the final four, they will have to get past the challenge of Sweden on Saturday in what should be a really tense all-European tie. What makes this interesting is that the odds on England to beat Sweden has the Three Lions going as favourites, but they don’t particularly have a great head-to-head record against Sweden, especially not in major tournaments. England have won just one of their last eight fixtures against Sweden in major competitions.

But as a positive England have won two of the last three meetings against the Swedes and they do look to have the better of the two squads heading into this quarter-final showdown. England have produced a W1 D1 L1 record so far (over 90 min) in the 2018 World Cup and they faced their biggest challenge so far in the round of 16 when they had to take on a Colombia side who looked happy to dish out disruptive tactics on the night. But England controlled themselves pretty well and even though they were left devastated in conceding a stoppage-time equaliser, the Three Lions composed themselves and won the penalty shootout.

Young Lions finding ways to get the job done

One criticism about England so far at the 2018 World Cup is that they really have not produced a lot of chances going forward in open play. They have been pretty convincing from their set pieces and fortunately, they have had a striker in Harry Kane who has held his nerve to slot home all the penalty kicks that have been placed in front of him. Kane is now on six goals and leading the golden boot race by a two-goal margin over Belgium’s Romelu Lukaku heading into the quarter-finals.

Kane is the 11/4 odds first goalscorer favourite* (betting odds taken from July 4th, 2018 at 10:44 pm) for this game and makes for a top Sweden v England prediction. Kane’s presence highlights an area in which England do have a considerable advantage over Sweden. The attacking crop that England have are a far better than what Sweden can put out up front. So that is a thin margin that could tip the balance in favour of the Three Lions in this game. But while whatever outcome and whichever way it swings this is likely to be a really tight a fair, especially with the pressures of it being a World Cup quarter-final.

Can England break strong Swedish defence?

Sweden don’t have a particularly talented squad but what they do have is great teamwork and great commitment and everybody just seems to know what they are supposed to be doing. You don’t always get that with teams and England boss Gareth Southgate some good up by saying that the Swedes are more than the sum of their parts. England certainly have to be cautious in this game even though they are favourites because Sweden just stick to their strengths and so far at this World Cup has really worked for them.

They took group stage wins over Mexico and South Korea and then in the round of 16 against Switzerland, they prevailed by a 1-0 scoreline even though they were underdogs for that fixture. Sweden have now conceded in just one of their four World Cup 2018 games and that was in their 2-1 defeat against Germany back in the group stage. Sweden were not carrying any form heading into this tournament but they have come good at the right time. Their three wins at the World Cup are there are only three victories in their last 10 games. They have also racked up five clean sheets in their last six games and under 1.5 goals at bet365 is at 1/2 odds* (betting odds taken from July 4th, 2018 at 10:44 pm) is another of our Sweden v England predictions. So that is what England have to try and break.

England assets

England have taken not one clean sheet at the 2018 World Cup so far and they have only one in their last seven games all told. That’s not a particularly good run of form but if you look all the way back to the start of September last year England have not conceded more than one goal in any match. So even if they do can see they aren’t likely to concede heavily and their backline, their young backline at that, has held itself together pretty well so far and haven’t been afraid put in the tackles.

England also have plenty of pace in breaking forward and they like to carry the ball out from the back and that’s not going to change for this fixture. England should have most of the ball in this game because the Swedes barely have gotten above a third of possession in any of their games at this tournament. But the big question is will England be able to do anything with it? There have been disappointing campaigns really from Dele Ali and Raheem Sterling with more having been expected of both of them in terms of supplying and backing up Kane for goals.

England will have to not get carried away by all of the hype and all of the emotions of that dramatic penalty shootout win over Colombia. Boss Gareth Southgate has to get them dialled in and focused for this challenge against Sweden. they will know what is in front of them and that is a well-organised team who play hard for each other. Will England be able to find that spark of creativity to open up their opponents and power their way through to their first World Cup semi-final since 1990? The winner of this tie will face either Croatia or host nation Russia in a semi-final in the bottom half of the draw.

England vs Sweden Predictions

We are ultimately going to go with England to find a way through. Sweden are very strong and they know what they are doing as a team. But they are not that sharp in front of goal and England have the stronger match winners in their ranks. We are looking at England to win by a one-goal margin as our England v Sweden prediction.

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* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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