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Odds on Liverpool to beat Barcelona 2019-05-01

29th April 2019 / lee
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Liverpool arguably get their toughest test of this Champions League campaign as they step out at the Camp Nou to face Barcelona in the first leg of this semi-final on Wednesday evening. Being able to return to Anfield for the second leg with Barcelona not out of sight, is going to be vitally important for the Premier League side.

Even though they are facing a Barcelona team who will are on a massive streak of undefeated form at home in Europe, Liverpool are the only English side ever to win at the Nou Camp in European action. The odds on Liverpool to beat Barcelona are 10/3* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)

Barcelona v Liverpool Betting Odds*

Barcelona 17/20
Draw 29/10
Liverpool 10/3
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)

Can Liverpool step it up?

The Reds were not drawn in the easiest of groups as they had to go up against French champions PSG and strong Italian outfit Napoli. However, the Reds did enough to get themselves through, despite losing all three of their away fixtures. They definitely step things up in the round of 16 where they went up against heavyweights Bayern Munich. After a home draw in the first leg, Liverpool went to Germany and posted a superb victory.

That moved them onto the slightly easier tie in the quarter-finals as they took on Portuguese side, Porto. Liverpool were on a four-match losing streak away from home in Europe before they picked up their second leg victory at Bayern Munich by a 3-1 scoreline. They won their away game at Porto then by a 4-1 margin. So even though they have lost five of their last 12 European fixtures, and all five of those defeats in that sequence happening away from home, their form has suddenly picked up.

Liverpool are now unbeaten in five European games, winning four of those. Without question, this is going to be the toughest game of their campaign so far. Getting something on the board could be crucial for the return leg. How precious would an away goal be for the Reds in this game? They do have the attacking power with both Mo Salah and Sadio Mane in fantastic scoring form currently. Will they be able to strike out on the counter-attack against Barcelona?

Liverpool are W8 D2 in two-legged UEFA knockout ties with Spanish sides and they have won all three previous two-legged ties against Barcelona in Europe. In terms of matches against Barcelona, Liverpool lead 3-2 in the head-to-head from eight previous games. Liverpool have however only taken one win in their last eight games against Spanish clubs (D2 L5) so that will throw a bit of a question mark over them. However, the Reds are undefeated in their last 19 games across all competitions.

Barcelona European home beasts

Just put into context of what Barcelona are going to bring to the table, they are undefeated in their last 31 European home games. That is a massive record from such a massive club. However the interesting thing about this tie now is that not only are they behind Liverpool in the head-to-head, but Barcelona have lost three of their last five Champions League semi-final ties. So they have been bottling it a bit at this stage of the campaign.

Will Liverpool be able to take advantage? There is of course so many positive stats surrounding Barcelona. They have for example won 15 of the 25 two-legged ties against English sides in Europe, including the last five. They have lost just one of their last nine ties against English opposition. Already this season from their group stage games against Spurs and quarter-final games against Manchester United, Barcelona have won three of their four games against English opposition. The Catalans have only suffered one defeat in their last 15 European games against Premier League sides, winning 11.

Barcelona have only ever lost two home games in Europe against English teams (W21 D11) but again the fascinating thing is that those two defeats were against Liverpool. That having been said Barcelona hold a W8 D2 record in their last 10 home games against English visitors. This season at home in Europe they have won four of their five games played (D1) and they are unbeaten in 13 knockout games at the Camp Nou (W11 D2). They are the only undefeated team left in the competition and they, of course, have Lionel Messi who has 10 goals to his name in this campaign. Barcelona are currently undefeated in 22 games across all competitions, unbeaten in 18 at home.


This has the making of such a fantastic game because Liverpool are just not going to crawl into their shell and try and produceda defensive performance. They are bold enough to have a go at Barcelona, particularly on the counter-attack. It is worth having a look at both teams getting on the scoresheet because Liverpool can trouble any defence in Europe at the moment.

The odds-on Liverpool to be Barcelona in this first leg at 10/3 are justifiably long, but right now in Europe if there is one team to back to go the Camp Nou and claim a victory, it is the Reds.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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