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Odds on Liverpool to beat Chelsea 2019-04-14

12th April 2019 / lee
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Of the five games that Liverpool have left in their campaign, this one on Sunday against Chelsea looks the toughest of them all. This is the last time this season that they will play one of the other Big Six. So more than ever they need to hold their nerve now as they try and strive towards the league title. The odds on Liverpool to beat Chelsea are at 17/4* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 12th, 2019 at 4:20 pm)

Liverpool v Chelsea odds*

Liverpool 4/6
Draw 16/5
Chelsea 17/4

Reds are getting to the finish line

It has not been plain sailing for Liverpool recently. Not by any stretch of the imagination. In the last four games played they have had to fight back from conceding the opening goal against Burnley and Southampton matches. Then they managed to benefit from mistakes made by Fulham and Tottenham to secure victories. Even though those struggles though, the Reds have managed to secure four straight wins.

So they have had luck on their side, they have shown a bit of character as well along the way to keep the pressure on Manchester City at the top. All that Liverpool can keep on doing now is win all of their remaining five games and hope that the Citizens slip up somewhere in the run in. So far this season the Reds are W3 D1 in their four games against the other Big Six sides at Anfield. Can they make it count in this one?

Liverpool’s home form

The home form of Liverpool has been fantastic. They remain undefeated at Anfield in the Premier League, winning all but two of their fixtures there. The Reds have scored an average of 2.9 goals per home game this season and they have netted at least two goals in each of their last four there. The Reds have scored in each of their last twelve on home soil as well.

They have been a defensive rock as well with a clean sheet having been earned in 56% of their home league games. They have shipped just the ten goals in total, an average of 0.6 per game against at Anfield. Still, with their own scoring output, 69% of fixtures at Liverpool have gone over 2.5 goals. Liverpool have also been leading at the half time break in nine of their home fixtures.

Head to Head

Four of the last five league meetings between these two at Anfield have ended in a 1-1 draw. Liverpool are actually winless on home soil in their last eight against Chelsea in all competitions. That includes a home EFL Cup loss against the Blues back in September.

Chelsea’s away day blues

But then Liverpool are facing a Chelsea side who have been having a rough time of things away from home. Maurizio Sarri’s men have lost four of their last six games played now, winning the other two. The two wins in that sequence were against bottom-three sides Cardiff and Fulham, and the Blues only banked 2-1 wins against those opponents.

They didn’t score in any of those four defeats in that sequence either. So they have struggled to prove themselves against the better teams in the division all season. Away from home, this season Chelsea have lost all five away games played against sides in the top half of the table. They produced just the two goals in those matches as well. So while they remain the biggest obstacle between Liverpool and a perfect run in, the Blues aren’t in great form.


This should be Liverpool’s day. Chelsea do have a top-four finish to play for so have to be hungry for this. But they have produced some really flat and uninspired displays recently and they don’t have the clinical finishing touch about them that Liverpool have.

This may well end up being another tight battle between the two of them, but maybe this time Liverpool can get over the finish line and the odds on Liverpool to win to nil are at 15/8* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 12th, 2019 at 4:20 pm).

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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