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Odds on Liverpool to beat Everton 2018-12-02

28th November 2018 / lee
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The first Merseyside derby of the season arrives on Sunday afternoon and Liverpool will be feeling the pressure. Not only do they have the home-field advantage in the derby, but they will also be putting their unbeaten form for the season on the line.

Everton are probably the last team that the Anfield crew would want to suffer their first league defeat against this season. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton are at 4/11* (Betting Odds were taken on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.) leaving Jurgen Klopp’s men as strong favourites. Can they deliver yet again?

Liverpool v Everton Betting Odds*

Liverpool 4/11
Draw 15/4
Everton 8/1
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.)

The longer the unbeaten run of Liverpool goes on the longer that the pressure is going to mount on them. They are thirteen games into the season though with a W10 D3 record on the board and they just seem to be handling things fine in terms of pressure, at the moment. Last weekend they had a tricky away game at Watford and sailed through the game with flying colours, posting a 3-0 win.

Defence outshining attack

Their form at Anfield this season is W5 D1 and the only team to deny them points at Anfield has been Manchester City in a 0-0 draw back at the start of October. Liverpool were all about their immense attacking power last season and while they have bettered their goal tally of 25 goals after 13 games of last season’s campaign by one, the clear difference is in their defence. Liverpool had conceded 18 goals after three games last season, this time around they have just the five against them.

Liverpool have conceded just the one goal at Anfield this season in the English top flight and that was surprisingly against relegation-candidates Cardiff. So that is a clean sheet for the Reds in all but one of their home games this season and Liverpool to win to nil suddenly looks a very handy proposition at 11/8 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.). Why wouldn’t it be? No-one has conceded fewer goals in the top flight than Liverpool have this season.

Salah shining again

But they still have their attacking prowess of course and it has gotten better over the last few games. They have netted ten goals in their last four games in the top flight and it has been nine in their last four at Anfield. There has been a bit of a trend running with Mo Salah. The Egyptian has scored the opening goal in four of Liverpool’s last five games and on the back of that he looks a valuable 13/5 first goalscorer punt.

Liverpool tend not to sit back early in games and they have been leading at the halftime break in all but one of their home games this season (the 0-0 against Man City the exception). So they are able to come out, get the goal on the board and see games out. Manchester City are the only side with a better home record than Liverpool in this season’s campaign and with the Reds unbeaten in their last seventeen Merseyside derby matches (all competitions) the omens look good for the Reds as well.

Everton rising

The Toffees have looked a much better unit this season under Marco Silva, and they drew great comments when they played out a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea in their last away game. They deserved the point as well. They have moved up to sixth in the table with five wins in their last seven games (D1 L1) so there has been a bit of momentum from the blue side of Merseyside. However, there is a clear disparity between their home strengths and their away strengths.

Everton have won just the one away game in the top flight this season (D3 L2) and that was out at Leicester at the start of October. If means from their four games away at sides currently above them in the top eight, Everton are winless (D2 L2), failing to score in two of those as well. The Toffees have scored almost twice as many goals at home as they have done away this season and have earned only the one clean sheet on their travels. It points to them not being ready to break their long winless spell in the league at Anfield.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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