Odds on Liverpool to beat Manchester City 2016-12-3130th December 2016 / lee
What a brilliant end of year cracker of a match up we have over at Anfield on Saturday. This is a game of big importance in the Premier League chase to try and haul in Chelsea at the top of the table. Second placed Liverpool take on Manchester City who are just a point and place behind them ahead of the final round of Premier League matches for the calendar year. The spoils in this one are huge and both will have to go for it because a draw really suits neither in this one if they have ambitions of catching runaway leaders Chelsea. It is game on and it could be a thoroughly entertaining open affair on Merseyside.
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A brilliant spectacle is on the cards in this one and Liverpool are running with the head to head form for the game as well. They have won their last three Premier League against the Citizens now and put seven goals past City in the two league meetings last season, carding a 3-0 home win and a 4-1 away win. So they have the dominance in this fixture and actually it is a dominance which goes even deeper and further back than just last season’s coming together. The Reds are firmly on top in home Premier League home games against the Citizens.
Liverpool have only lost one of their previous nineteen Premier League home games against the Citizens, with that lone defeat happening back in May 2013 when Nicolas Anelka netted a brace in a 2-1 win for the Citizens on Merseyside. Other than that, it has been total control from Liverpool really. Liverpool too have scored in each of those 19 Premier League home games that they have played against Manchester City and with the scoring record that the Reds have laid down this term, you would expect them to strike again.
The Reds have averaged 3.13 goals per game on home soil this season but what makes this even more interesting is looking at their defensive home record. Liverpool have been hauled over the coals about poor defensive displays this term and yet they have only conceded seven goals at Anfield this season. So all in all, they do looks strong to go out and put the win on the board in his one and Liverpool ended both 2014 (4-1 v Swansea City) and 2015 (1-0 v Sunderland) with a league win so could extend that streak as well.
The Reds just have so many scoring options and Daniel Sturridge at 11/8 is shortest priced for them in the anytime goalscorer market after scoring his first league goal of the season in a midweek 4-1 win over Stoke. Divock Origi is a 6/4 options with Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino both coming in as 13/8 options in the William Hill anytime goalscorer market. Sergio Aguero is the outright favourite at a price of 21/20 however, the City hit man has never scored a Premier League goal at Anfield though, despite having netted four career league goals against them.
So will Liverpool be able to continue their dominance over the Citizens on the weekend? City have posted a very solid W7 D0 L2 record away from home this season, however, they have managed just the two clean sheets all season on their travel sand just one in their last seven out on the road. Defensively, they are pretty vulnerable, much like Liverpool can be and punters will have concerns about their ability to deal with the speed that the Reds will be able to attack them with. The Citizens have scored a total of 58 goals in their last 26 league games (only failing to score in one of those games) but will that be enough to get the past an in-form, free-scoring Liverpool?
Liverpool 13/10, Draw 12/5, Man City 2/1
Liverpool v Manchester City Predictions
In summary Liverpool just look to have the edge thanks to their extra scoring power. They are able to switch things up easier if things aren’t working going forward and they have more to call on from the bench than City do. City have done alright out onto the road this season, but the lack of clean sheets is likely to come back and haunt them. Look for both teams to score in a home victory for Liverpool whose defensive record on home soil at least, isn’t all that bad really.