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Odds on Manchester City to beat Arsenal 2019-02-03

31st January 2019 / lee
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Manchester City dropped some big points out on the road at Newcastle in midweek. They went to St James’ Park as favourites to collect the win over the Mpagies and they looked to be well on course to do just that as they scored within the first minute. But then defensive errors in the second half of the game saw it all fall apart for the Citizens.

They now have to lift themselves for the visit of Arsenal on Sunday. The odds on Manchester City to beat Arsenal by a two-goal margin in the game is at 10/3* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 31st, 2019 at 5:10 pm).

Manchester City v Arsenal Winner Odds*

Manchester City 2/7
Draw 5/1
Arsenal 15/2
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 31st, 2019 at 5:10 pm).

The Citizens need to pick up some points back at home soil on the weekend in this big showdown. Manchester City suffered a shock away loss at Newcastle on Tuesday night which handed further advantage to Liverpool in the race for the title. However, the Reds themselves failed to win their game the following day, only managing a draw against Leicester, which means that City are facing a five-point deficit and not the seven it could have been.

So that was a bit of a let off for the Citizens but they will know that they can ill afford any more slip-ups. The odds on Manchester City to beat Arsenal are at 2/7 for Sunday’s game* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 31st, 2019 at 5:10 pm). Boss Pep Guardiola obviously is not going to be a happy camper at the moment and you can only imagine that he has been working tirelessly across the course of the week to get his players back focused and fired up to go out and thump Arsenal.

City fired up

Manchester City need to get a bit of fire in their belly in order to stand up for themselves in this tough game. They are facing a side who carry a good attacking threat because Arsenal have averaged two goals per game on their top-flight travels this season. Manchester City have though do have a fantastic home record this season having posted a W11 L1 record in their twelve fixtures so far. Crystal Palace were the ones who pulled off the shock win at the Etihad just back in December.

Otherwise, they generally look unstoppable and Manchester City have produced themselves at least two goals in every home game played this term. The Citizens have won their last two home games, one of them that massively important duel against leaders Liverpool. They rarely fail to make a huge impression going forward really, but they just had one of those off nights against Newcastle where they lacked a little cutting edge. Back at home against a relatively flimsy Arsenal defence, you would expect them to be a little more productive.

City’s stats

So it has been a home win for the Citizens in all but one home game. 58% of their home games have ended up going over 3.5 goals. There have been defensive mistakes from them and they have conceded at under a goal per game on average. They have averaged 3.3 goals per home game this season. Guardiola’s troops have had their struggles at the back as they have only managed the two clean sheets in their last eleven fixtures (home and away combined). So that really has been their Achilles heel a bit.

Manchester City have been leading at the half time break in nine of their twelve home games this season as well (D2 L1). Each of their last eight Premier League fixtures at the Etihad have ended over 2.5 goals. Manchester City have not conceded a goal in either the first fifteen minutes of the final fifteen minutes of a home match this season in the top flight. They do have the best home record of all teams this season in the Premier League and they are also the top scorers. Liverpool are the only side to have produced a better defensive record.

Arsenal form questionable

The Gunners have had a great season on home soil in the Premier League, that cannot be argued at all. But they have been really shaky on their travels. Arsenal have failed to take a win in any of their last six league games away from the Emirates in the EPL, losing three of their last four (D1). Overall this season Arsenal have managed to win just four road games (D3 L4) and they have taken just one point from their three away games played against sides currently in the top six with them.

Arsenal have conceded exactly two goals per game on average away from home this season and they have not managed a single clean sheet on their travels. 82% of the away games that Arsenal have been involved in this season have ended up over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in 91% of their road fixtures. The Gunners have not been leading at the half time break in any away game this season.

It really isn’t about their goal output as they can challenge on that front. It is the frailties of their defence which may end up seeing them suffer another league defeat against City this season. On the opening weekend of this season’s campaign, Arsenal lost 2-0 at home games City.


Manchester City have won their last four games against Arsenal in all competitions, conceding just the one goal in that sequence. But their defence is far from watertight at the moment, so the odds on Man City to beat Arsenal & both teams to score is at 13/10* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 31st, 2019 at 5:10 pm). Each of Man City’s last four victories over the Gunners have been by a margin of at least two goals.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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