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Odds on Manchester City to beat Arsenal – EFL Cup Final 2018-02-25

19th February 2018 / lee
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The first piece of domestic silverware will be settled on Sunday, February 25th. It is the Carabao Cup Final, the final of the League Cup action for the season and this is a trophy which Manchester City have won twice in the last four seasons. Manchester City collected a 3-1 win over Sunderland back in 2014 and then followed up two years later with a success against Liverpool. That has left City with four League Cup titles in their history and they would join Man Utd, Aston Villa and Chelsea on five if they win on the weekend, with only Liverpool having won more (8).

Manchester City v Arsenal Carabao Cup Winner Odds

Manchester City 8/13, Draw 16/5, Arsenal 9/2* (betting odds taken at 10:30 p.m. on February 19th, 2018)

Under Pep Guardiola, Manchester City have become an absolute beast of a team this season, enjoying dominating, free-flowing football across all competitions with only rare vulnerabilities having been shown up. Their goal output has been phenomenal for the season and when you can boast an attack containing Sergio Aguero, Raheem Sterling, David Silva, Kevin de Bruyne and more then you are not going to have too many problems sticking the ball in the back of the net either.

After a long injury, Gabriel Jesus is reportedly close to getting back to action for them as well. All in all it points to this being a high scoring game and over 3.5 goals at William Hill for the Carabao Cup Final is at 11/8 odds* (betting odds taken at 10:30 p.m. on February 19th, 2018). There has been a spate of high scoring games between these two sides which suggests that this one is going to go the same way as well. Sometimes cup finals end up being cagey affairs, this just looks like it is going to be an all out show of attack.

Head to head

Both teams have scored in each of the last six contests across all competitions. Manchester City were 3-1 home winners in a Premier League fixture back at the start of November against the Gunners. However, these two met up at Wembley just last season in the FA Cup semi final and it was Arsenal who came out on top on the day, winning 2-1 after extra time. Arsenal have won their last two Wembley fixtures against Manchester City having also beaten the Citizens in the 2014 Community Shield.

Do Arsenal do have that going for them and the Gunners are actually 5-2 ahead with one draw from eight previous League Cup meetings too. Arsenal holds a W3 D3 L2 record from their last eight games against the Citizens in all competitions and the Gunners have either scored exactly two or have conceded exactly two goals in six of their last seven games against City. Each of the last three drawn matches that the two clubs have played out have all been 2-2 results.

Loss of Quadruple chance to fire up Citizens?

City genuinely looked as if they could get close to a quadruple this season, but the chance of that happening fell by the wayside on Monday when the Premier League leaders were shocked in a 1-0 loss out at League One title contenders Wigan in the FA Cup. After playing a large chunk of the game with ten men, Manchester City lost 1-0 at the DW Stadium.

So the quadruple is gone, but with them likely to win the Premier League and on the brink of success the League Cup, a double at least is still on the cards with the Champions League chance making up a shot at a treble still. Will their FA Cup loss have fired them up for this big day at Wembley?

Gunners underdogs for Wembley date

The Gunners go to Wembley as underdogs and they have not won the League Cup since 1993 when they beat Sheffield Wednesday. They have been to the final twice since then, losing on both occasions by a 2-1 scoreline against Chelsea and then Birmingham. In the William Hill correct score market a Man City 2-1 result is up at a 7/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 10:30 p.m. on February 19th, 2018). Arsenal have had a really poor season defensively and they aren’t carrying any kind of form away from the Emirates.

While they have produced well on home soil this season, when it comes to games away from North London, they have struggled. The Gunners have only taken one win in their last seven games away from the Emirates in all competitions (D2 L4) which suggests that they are clearly having problems when not on their own pitch. Aaron Ramsey could be a key loss in midfield for them but they will be hoping that January signing Pierre Emerick Aubameyang will pose the City defence plenty of problems.

League Cup Stats

Arsenal have won the title twice, 1987 and 1993. They have lost five other finals.
Manchester City have won the title four times, 1970, 1976, 2014, 2016 and have only lost one final which was in 1974
If City win they will join Chelsea, Aston Villa and Man Utd as the joint second-most successful club in the history of the competition.
Liverpool are the most successful side ever having won it eight times.

If the match is drawn after 90 minutes, the tie will go to extra-time then penalties.
ABBA format for a penalty shootout would be used

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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