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Odds on Real Madrid to beat Atletico Madrid 2016-11-19

17th November 2016 / lee
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One of the biggest games at club level in Europe is heading our way on Saturday evening. It is the Madrid derby from the Spanish top flight and with this involving two of the best clubs on the continent at the moment, it is probably going to be a full-on encounter. Visitors to the Calderon always have a tough time in breaking down Atletico there and the home side are in need of the three points. They have produced some top form at home as well this season, but recent defeats out on the road may have dented their confidence a little bit. Real Madrid go into the game sitting top of La Liga and with a six point advantage over their city rivals and won’t want to let their grip on the title race slip backwards in this tough derby match up. A fantastic spectacle to come from Spain on Saturday night.

 Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Betting Odds

Atlético Madrid 7/5, Real Madrid 21/10, Draw 9/4

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Here we go then with one of the best fixtures from across European club football. We have a Madrid derby to warm up Saturday evening and we are probably going to be in for another tight and tense affair between these two. We have seen them square off against one another a lot over the last two seasons (eleven times) and Atletico are on top in that sequence of games. Atletico have lost just one of the last eleven against Real Madrid in the league, winning five of them and they are unbeaten now in their last six against Los Merengues. So the head to head form is clearly running with them right now and the bookmakers are slightly siding with them as well going into this one. As well as the head to head against Real, Atletico are a tremendously tough side to beat at the Vicente Calderon.

Atletico have gone W4 D1 in La Liga at home this season, but unlike them, they have scored a total of 18 goals in those five games (which matches the average that they had after five homes when they won the league a couple of years ago). They have scored at least four goals in three of those five at home and they have, for the most part, been tight at the back with only Villarreal have conceded fewer goals than they have done.  But then, you have seen Atletico Madrid conceded at least one goal in each of their four games and results lately haven’t quite gone their way with two defeats in their last three and perhaps are just struggling to put it together at the moment.

Granted those two defeats were away from home, but they can still set back a club. Even though Atletico can boast a lot of scoring power as they have Antoine Griezmann (who has four goals in his last six against Real in the league) at even money in the anytime goalscorer market, with Kevin Gameiro at 8/5 and. Yannick Carrasco at a 12/5 price (who has six in his last four at home) they are being heavily outscored still by Real this season in the league. So will their usually tight defence fail them again when Cristiano Ronaldo and co turns up? Even though Atletico are unbeaten in their last six at home against Real, their opponents have never gone seven consecutive matches there without a win before.

Real boss Zinedine Zidane has a W25 D5 L1 league record, with that one loss against Atletico Madrid at the Bernabeu. Real are again looking strong this season with an unbeaten W8 D3 L0 record in La Liga this term and they go into this derby with a four match winning streak on their side. They are the second highest scoring side in La Liga, with Barcelona edging them out by just one goal heading into the weekend and they have Cristiano Ronaldo at 5/4 with Bet365 in the anytime goalscorer market to start with but he is on a six match scoreless streak against Atletico Madrid. Gareth Bale is at 7/4 to net and the impressive Alvaro Morata has been going well too. Then there’s Karim Benzema at 8/5 and he has three in his last six against Atletico.

We have seen a lot of tight games between these two lately and two of the three last season ended in a 1-1 draw which is a 5/1 punt to repeat itself in this one. But Real Madrid are on a fifteen match scoring streak away from home in the league and over that sequence of away fixtures have averaged 2.6 goals per game. Real Madrid also are unbeaten in their last sixteen out on the road in the league (W12 D4) and if this come down to another tight duel, will it be one of their star forwards that will make the difference at the end of the day, against an Atletico defence which has been conceding lately? Both teams to score on the night will return you a price of 7/10 with online betting site Bet365. Real go into this one top of the league and a point could keep them there, unless Barcelona win and out-do them on goal difference.

All in all, Real are the ones who have been scoring more and the cracks that have appeared in Atletico’s defence may have come at the wrong time. It’s not often that you are going to see Real Madrid running at such a tempting price at Bet365 to go and win a match and it may be worth a flutter on them breaking their winless form at the Calderon.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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