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Odds on Spain to beat Portugal – Betting Preview, World Cup 2018

12th June 2018 / lee
Spain v Portugal - World Cup 2018

Portugal v Spain World Cup 2018, 15th June – 7.00 p.m.

Looking at Group B at the 2018 World Cup it is more than likely that whoever wins this fixture will probably top the group. Portugal and Spain are expected to both be in the knockout phase of the competition and this result may not have a bearing on the outcome being any different to that. But looking at this from the perspective of being group winner it will be interesting to see if one can get themselves off to a confident positive start.

It is Spain who are the favourites to get maximum points on the board in this opening group the fixture and they are at a short 17/20 odds-on price* (Betting Odds taken from June 10th, 2018 at 10:58 p.m.) to do that.

Portugal vs Spain Odds*

Spain 17/20
Draw 23/10
Portugal 10/3
* (Betting Odds taken from June 10th, 2018 at 10:58 p.m.)

But can Portugal make a fist of this and upset their rivals? There will big challenge ahead of them in order to achieve that because Spain have not lost a single fixture either competitive or friendly, since Euro 2016. But Portugal have won two of their last four games against the Spaniards, losing just one (90 minutes). They earned a 0-0 draw against the Spaniards in their most recent meeting which was at Euro 2012 but ultimately lost in a penalty shootout.

But if you look at the last four fixtures between the two in a different way and you will see that Portugal have collected three clean sheets in that run of games against Spain and so they look as if they know how to frustrate them. Portugal are not an expansive side, their strengths are in keeping things tight and trying to break quickly and hit Cristiano Ronaldo. So if they were to cause an upset and get a win in this game then it would likely have to be with a clean sheet, so Portugal to win to nil with bet365 is at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken from June 10th, 2018 at 10:58 p.m.).

Portugal to rely on Ronaldo again

Portugal basically have two threats in front of goal and the obvious one is Cristiano Ronaldo but the progress of Andres Silva is going well and he has scored 12 goals in 23 international caps, so could be a bit of value from Portugal’s perspective in the anytime goalscorer market. Ronaldo though of course is the shortest-priced option for them in the anytime goalscorer market at 15/8 odds* (Betting Odds taken from June 10th, 2018 at 10:58 p.m.).

Given the form that they have been carrying this is not an easy thing for Portugal to pull off. They are not going to get a great deal of possession in the game and therefore their own chances are going to be limited. Under 2.5 goals is at 4/11 odds with bet365* (Betting Odds taken from June 10th, 2018 at 10:58 p.m.) and four of the last six meetings have ended up that way. Spain are naturally going to be a big threat and they have stacked their midfield with creative options, but will they have the finishing touch to break what can be very stubborn and resilient Portugal side?

The importance of a win for Portugal

What would getting a win in this opening fixture mean for Portugal? It will be huge if Portugal do get the win in this one with them having then to go on to face Morocco and Iran. A draw will do Portugal’s self-belief the world of good, but at the end of the day, you would expect Spain to score more goals against the other two group members than Portugal manage. So realistically Portugal’s best hopes of winning the group is going to come with three points in this fixture.

It would mean a lot winning the group, because it will give them an easier round of 16 fixture, potentially putting them on much easier path overall to the final four as well. Can they pull it off? Four years ago Spain collapsed heavily in their World Cup opener against the Netherlands and Portugal will be looking to inflict a little more opening misery on the Red Fury.

Portugal v Spain Predictions

Spain have the edge over Portugal at the moment in terms of quality and there is not going to be too much of an argument about that. Spain had a nightmare in their opener at the 2014 World Cup and you wonder if that will be on their minds. As they showed at Euro 2016, Portugal bend but they don’t break all too often so back the draw between the two Iberian rivals.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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