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Odds on Sweden Women to beat Netherlands Women – 2019-07-03

30th June 2019 / lee
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It will be an all-European clash in the semifinals of the Women’s World Cup down in the bottom half of the draw. Reigning European Champions the Netherlands have already put together their best ever run at a World Cup. Can they put themselves on the brink of a potential holding both European and World crowns at the same time? Or will Sweden, who have put together a tactically solid campaign, cause an upset?

The Odds on Sweden Women to beat Netherlands Women are at 21/10* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 30th, 2019 at 9:02 p.m.)

Netherlands Women v Sweden Women Betting Odds*

Netherlands Women 13/10
Draw 23/10
Sweden Women 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 30th, 2019 at 9:02 p.m.)

Can Sweden get it tactically right again?

Everyone seemed pretty impressed by the tactical approach from Sweden in their quarter-final tie against Germany. Sweden had been underdogs against the Germans, who had not conceded in the tournament up until that point. When Sweden fell behind in the game early on, things looked ominous for the Swedes. However, they nullified the threat of the Germans from there on and managed to work their way back in the game to take a 2-1 win.

They produced a wonderful balance between attack and defence and came up trumps. The key factor about Sweden’s performance in that game was their threat on the counter-attack. Throughout this tournament, particular in the knockout stages, they have been happy to play to their defensive strengths and look for the counter-attacking opportunities. They did in the round of sixteen when they were up against Canada, picking their opponents off in a 1-0 win.

Blackstenius delivers

Their hero in their last two matches has been Stina Blackstenius who has been superb. She has netted the winner in their two knockout stage matches. She has taken the chances for them on the break. But again, all of their work was built off of their defensive performances. Their full-backs against Germany nullified a huge threat from Germany and they are going to have to be on their toes signs against the dynamic triple threat up front of the Netherlands.

Sweden are the only side to have come from behind to progress through a knockout stage tie in this World Cup. That shows the depth of their resolve really. Their success over Germany extended their streak of having scored in every single one of their World Cup knockout stage matches that they have played in their history. That will be a total of 22 goals across 14 fixtures.

Second best to win the day?

In the group stage, Sweden were up against the USA. Both teams had won their opening matches ahead of their meeting in the final round of matches. Instead of the Swedes pushing on and challenging the Americans to top the group, they didn’t really seem to be that interested in doing so. At that stage, there was no point busting a gut trying to win out in toppling the USA to getting first place.

Sweden went under strength for the game, resting some key players and settled for second best. That meant that were likely to get an easier run in the bottom half of the draw because it sent the USA up to the top half of the draw alongside France and England, two of the other main contenders for the title. It was realistically, only Germany that they had to deal with down in that bottom half of the bracket. So it may have been a calculated risk not to challenge the USA when it didn’t really matter to do so.

Sweden’s defensive stats

The defence of the Swedes then is going to be the key component in this semi-final duel. They are not suddenly going to go and get expansive and take on the Netherlands in that manner. Sweden have won five of their last six games and across that sequence of games have taken a total, of course, clean sheets. In their last ten games played they tallied up an impressive number of seven clean sheets. So their defensive strengths are certainly there. Will they be able to keep the star power of Lieke Martens and Vivianne Miedema quiet.

The Netherlands keep winning

The Dutch have taken their current winning streak to eight. That’s obviously not to be sneezed at and it makes for impressive reading. However, they have not at any point during this tournament looked as convincing as they could be. They are blessed with top talents Vivianne Miedema and Lieke Martens and they have both come to their country’s call at times in this tournament.

But they have looked a little rocky and have needed late interventions like their stoppage-time winner against New Zealand in the group stage and a 90th-minute penalty in their round of sixteen tie against Japan to squeeze through. They have just one clean sheet in their last five. They will be expected to do most of the attacking in the game. But will they be able to crack the tough Swedish defence?

Prediction

Sweden look a viable option here. They are strong defensively and they are not worried about playing on the break and not being an expensive side. Those are their strengths. They have some big players to try and shut down in this one, but they performed so well in defence against Germany that they can follow up against the Netherlands. The Odds on Sweden Women to beat Netherlands Women are at 21/10* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 30th, 2019 at 9:02 p.m.)


The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!





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