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PGA Championship Predictions & Winner Odds 2019

15th May 2019 / lee
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The first Major of the year was certainly a stunner. It saw Tiger Woods rise once more to the top of the game as he collected the Masters at Augusta. The PGA Championship is next up on the list in this year of changes.

It used to be the fourth and final Major of the golf season, but it has been brought a long way forward to sandwich itself between the Masters and the US Open. So that gap between those two events have been filled.

Bethpage Black course is the host for the 2019 PGA Championships. It’s one of the longest courses out there. It is one of the most difficult that there is as well. The weather too could be a factor in New York. Not only has it been pretty wet there recently, but the players could be taking on some cloudy conditions and some fairly strong chances of rain during the event itself.

There’s nothing like a bit of clement weather to have to deal with in golf betting. It is 2018 Player of the Year Brooks Koepka who is 10/1 outright favourite* (betting odds taken from ebt365 on May 14th, 2019 at 6:08 pm)

2019 PGA Championship Winner Odds*

Brooks Koepka 10/1
Dustin Johnson 11/1
Rory McIlroy 12/1
Tiger Woods 12/1
Jon Rahm 18/1
Justin Rose 20/1
Rickie Fowler 20/1
Jason Day 22/1
Francesco Molinari 25/1
Xander Schauffele 25/1
Tommy Fleetwood 33/1
Tony Finau 35/1
Bryson DeChambeau 40/1
Sergio Garcia 40/1
Hideki Matsuyama 40/1
Patrick Cantlay 45/1
50/1 bar
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on May 14th, 2019 at 6:08 pm)

Tiger Woods

Tiger Woods will have plenty of eyes on him at 11/1 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on May 14th, 2019 at 6:08 pm). These days he manages his game time and so is nowhere near as busy as a lot of the other front runners in this tournament. That could be a good thing as it means that he can pick and choose to peak at the big ones. He hasn’t played since the Masters and he is a four-time champion of the US PGA. He also has won before at Bethpage in collecting the 2002 US Open. It’s a matter know of who can simply write him off?

Brooks Koepka

He is the man leading the way at the head of the market. He is the reigning PGA Champion so this is a big title defence for him, as it will be at The Open this year. He recently had a great showing at the AT&T Byron Nelson with a fourth-place finish in what was his debut at the tournament. His putter was in great shape and following his T2 at the Masters this year, plus his title defence, there is plenty of reason for backing as the 10/1 favourite* (betting odds taken from bet365 on May 14th, 2019 at 6:08 pm).

Rory McIlroy

McIlroy is a two-time winner of the US PGA, having wrapped up the titles in 2011 and 2013. He’s had a strong season and his driver is working well for him at the moment. The stats that he has put on the table this season, really back up a strong performance for him. His somewhat disappointing Masters display was sandwiched between his win at ThePlayers and a top ten at the Wells Fargo. McIlroy is just behind the leading two at 12/1 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on May 14th, 2019 at 6:08 pm)

Dustin Johnson

DJ has had plenty of backing this week in the 2019 PGA Championship market, with bookmakers having to react by cutting his price. He has played at Bethpage before when he took a T18 three years ago at the Northern Trust. Johnson is without question a big-time player, however, we don’t think he’s as accurate as he could be. He has had to do a lot of grinding work to just avoid bogeys recently and isn’t quite on top of his name. He’s always capable of pulling out a tournament winning round, but is the overall consistency there currently though?

Jon Rahm 18/1

Spain’s Rahm just looks even more cool and collected every time that he steps out on to the course these days. He’s holding things together brilliantly and you feel that a Major must be around the corner for him. He has banked a top ten finish in back to back Majors now and it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if it comes sooner rather than later for the brilliant battler, who is at home on just about any style of course. He may have the ability to stick in there while others fade at the notoriously long Bethpage course.

Justin Rose 20/1

He totally bombed at the Masters this year, missing the cut. That was a result which heaped a bit of pressure on the Englishman really because it was on the back of a strong season. So would he crumble on his next appearance? Of course not. He showed tremendous composure in stepping out at the Wells Fargo Championship and taking a third place finish. That Masters nightmare is behind him and he’s back in the wheelhouse at 20/1 to get the PGA Championship 2019* (betting odds taken from bet365 on May 14th, 2019 at 6:08 pm).

Rickie Fowler

Fowler had a good crack at Bethpage back in 2016 at the Northern Trust, where he was leading at the start of the fourth round. He fell apart though in that final round, totally bottling it. You keep waiting for the day that Fowler is going to put it all together at a Major. He has taken a top twenty finish in all but two of his last nine Majors competed, but taking it to that next level to produce the win is a totally different matter. He banked a good T4 at the Wells Fargo after a good top ten at the Masters though. So he’s trending in the right direction

2019 US PGA Predictions

It’s a tough course that needs big endurance. Big hitters may not have a great advantage because of how narrow the fairways are, so even with the weather, that will rein them in. The tough conditions, and perhaps not favourable weather have to be two key factors in 2019 US PGA Championship betting.

Will the long course be a factor against Tiger Woods these days, for example? You would have to think that Koepka would be the stronger of the two.  He is cool and composed and the fact that this is a title defence at one of the toughest courses in North America isn’t going to bother him.

The price of Rickie Fowler at 20/1 is just about there to warrant having a look at him* (betting odds taken from bet365 on May 14th, 2019 at 6:08 pm).. The thing about his game that he is well rounded which is going to be a perfect fit for the different challenges at Bethpage. For an each price he’s certainly worth a dabble there of just straight 4/1 for a Top Five Finish, either way* (betting odds taken from bet365 on May 14th, 2019 at 6:08 pm)..

Our top pick is going to be Jon Rahm. His performances at the Majors is getting better and better and now his temperament is well under wraps and he is dialled in as it gets. He has the versatility to really make an impact over the four days, simply by creative shot selection.


The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!





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