This is a huge clash at Anfield on Saturday evening. Liverpool have managed to power their way to a six-point lead at the top of the table over Christmas. Now the task is to maintain their advantage. This is a tough game for them as they welcome the Gunners to Anfield. Arsenal are pushing for a top-four spot and could have the attacking threat to rattle the Reds.
Still, it is Liverpool who are the favourites. The Odds on Liverpool to beat Arsenal are 1/2* (betting odds taken on December 29th, 2018 at 2:49 pm)
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 29th, 2018 at 6:35 p.m.)
What a season it has been for Liverpool. They collected a 4-0 home win over Newcastle on Boxing Day and that moved them on to an eight-match winning streak in the Premier League. They are showing no sign of slowing up at all. With the form of Manchester City falling away through December, Liverpool now hold a six-point lead at the top of the Premier League heading into the final weekend of 2018.
But it’s a lead not over the reigning champions Man City, it is over Spurs. So will the Reds be able to continue their positive momentum as they play host to Arsenal on Saturday evening? The Reds earned a point from a 1-1 draw when they took a trip to North London to face Arsenal earlier this season. They have fantastic home from going against the Gunners though.
Liverpool have remained undefeated in their last five home games against Arsenal now, winning four of those. They have scored at least two goals in each of those five games in that sequence. In total Liverpool have come up with seventeen goals in their last five Premier League home fixtures against Arsenal. With the Reds averaging almost 2.5 goals per home this season in the top flight, will that be too much for Arsenal to handle?
It may not even be so much about stacking up the two powerful attacks against each other. There is a clear difference in the defensive strength of Liverpool over that of Arsenal. Liverpool have conceded just two home goals this season in the EPL having taken a clean sheet in 78% of fixtures at Anfield. Arsenal meanwhile are still looking for their first away clean sheet this season in the top flight. There should be chances for the Reds.
It’s not as if Arsenal are a bad side. But their form on the road just isn’t there lately. They have failed to win any of their last three on the road (D2 L1) after playing out a draw at Brighton on Boxing Day. They have the goals in them without question, having scored at least two goals in every road fixture. But their defence has remained vulnerable and that could be the advantage that Liverpool needs.
Liverpool have the edge at the moment. They are confident, they have tremendous momentum behind them and they are on home soil. Arsenal have the scoring power to threaten the defence of the Reds, but of the two defences, Liverpool’s is clearly superior. That could be very telling and Liverpool are strong enough to expose Arsenal’s weaknesses at the back. The Odds on Liverpool to beat Arsenal are 1/2* (betting odds taken on December 29th, 2018 at 2:49 pm) and that looks a strong proposition.
Chelsea v Arsenal Premier League Preview – August 18th, 2018
The highlight match of this weekend’s Premier League round of action is the London derby at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal. The Blues will be looking to build on the positive result that they earned out at Huddersfield last weekend, giving new head coach Maurizio Sarri his first Premier League success.
As for Arsenal, they will be feeling the pressure if they don’t get anything out of this game having lost against Manchester City on the opening weekend. But the Gunners are underdogs for the match with the odds on Chelsea to beat Arsenal at 4/5 with bet365* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 11:36 p.m.).
* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 11:36 p.m.)
Maurizio Sarri would have been pretty happy with his first Premier League game in charge of Chelsea as the Blues recorded a 3-0 success out at Huddersfield. It was fairly comfortable for them and even though you could see the players still working their way into the system, it was a confident start and there should be much better to come. The only thing lacking from the whole performance really was an assured performance from a striker, that being Alvaro Morata who looked wholeheartedly out of place again.
It was N’Golo Kane, new summer signing Jorgniho and Pedro who got the goals for the Blues. Morata is up as the 7/5 joint anytime goalscorer favourite for this game alongside teammate Olivier Giroud who was on the bench last weekend, but given the extra rest after the World Cup, not getting into the game* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 11:36 p.m.). Sarri’s style is all about powerful and clinical attacks and goals is what we can expect from the Blues this season, even more so when players get used to this new system.
However for this first London derby of the season between Chelsea and Arsenal the temptation is to look under 2.5 goals is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 11:36 p.m.) for the game. The reasons behind that would be the fact that Chelsea’s last three home games in the league have gone under the goal line, and they have earned a clean sheet in five of their last six home fixtures against the Gunners in all competitions. Three of the last four at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Arsenal have ended under the goal line.
Chelsea did alright at home last season with W11 D4 L4 record but it was not as strong as they would have expected that record to be. Chelsea averaged 1.6 goals per home game last season at home, while they conceded an average of under a goal per game, taking a clean sheet in 53% of their league home fixtures. Looking back at the expectancy of this being a low-scoring game a Chelsea to win by a one-goal margin is at 11/4 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 11:36 p.m.).
The Gunners did get a tough home opener against Manchester City last weekend, but even with that in mind, new season optimism over the new manager and new signings was quickly quieted as they lost 2-0. They only came up with the three shots on target during the nineteen minutes and while most sides are going to struggle to contain the reigning champions, a bit more was expected of Arsenal on home soil against them.
New boss Unai Emery wasn’t happy with his players as he said that they didn’t play the way that he wanted them too and they looked lost. They tried time and time again, largely unsuccessfully to get the ball played out from the back but it just kept putting them in further and further trouble. Chelsea will be expected to press high up the pitch and that will pile more pressure on the Arsenal back line.
The Gunners only managed a W4 D4 L11 record away from home last season in the Premier League. They have lost seven of their last eight away games in the Premier League and that’s another reason that punters may have trouble trusting them to win this one, even though they are undefeated in six against the Blues in all competitions.
The presence of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang who is a 5/4 anytime goalscorer option for them* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 11:36 p.m.) will give them hope, but they didn’t do enough to get any kind of service to him in the game last weekend.
There has been little to choose between these two in recent season but Chelsea have remained unbeaten on home soil against the Gunners for some time now and we are going to back that to continue. We are going to fully back the 4/5 odds on Chelsea to beat Arsenal at bet365* (Betting Odds were taken on August 15th, 2018 at 11:36 p.m.). We are suggesting that it is only going to happen by a one-goal margin though.
Arsenal have big enough incentive to go out on Saturday lunchtime in Premier League duty and do Spurs over. After some really poor away form in the Premier League, this season (W1 D1 L4) they are trailing their North London rivals Spurs by four points already.They really can’t afford that to be opened up to seven points. The Gunners kick off in this one down in sixth place in the league having recorded a W5 D1 L4 record for the season and they have simply been propped up by their excellent efforts at home.
Arsenal 13/10, Tottenham 15/8, Draw 5/2
Despite a real scare against Leicester in their opening fixture of the season, Arsenal have remained perfect on home soil this season in the Premier League with five wins from five. That has been massively important for them. They have collected a clean sheet in three of their last four home victories as well and they need to use the inspiration from that great form to go and take the game to their rivals. Arsenal have just the one point from their three games so far this season against current top five sides and can’t afford another blowout.
Having earned a point against Chelsea and having suffered defeats against Liverpool and Man City, Arsenal’s strength has been called into question once again. But they do remain very strong on home soil where they are averaging 2.6 goals per game. This North London derby is likely to swing the other way and go under 2.5 goals which is a price of 13/10 at William Hill, just because six of the last eight league meetings between the two clubs have gone below the mark. Arsenal are running on a three match winless streak of form against Spurs at home as well in league competitions.
The last three games between the two rivals at the Emirates have all ended in a 1-1 draw which is a price of 6/1 in the William Hill correct score market. While they have been poor this season at the back out on the road, they were actually competitive in a 3-1 loss at Manchester City just before the international break, but luck was really against them in the fixture and the Citizens made it count by taking advantage. But there were competitive positives that Arsenal could have taken away from the game and Wenger probably won’t be leaving Alexandre Lacazette out of the starting eleven for this one.
Strangely he left the summer signing on the bench, as he did for the game against Chelsea, which were really strange things to do. Lacazette is their top scorer, has the pace and finishing quality to trouble sides. He is a price of 11/8 in the anytime goalscorer market and it was he who got the consolation at Man City after coming off the bench. So Arsenal’s home form will be the indicator by which they will judge their chances in this one. They have scored at least two goals in each of their home games this season but will face a tough Tottenham defence.
Tottenham have had another great season in the Premier League and they have been firing along so well in the UEFA Champions League as well, with four points collected in two games against Real Madrid. But their character is going to be tested in this one because they lost their one big away game that they have played in the Premier League this season. They went down 1-0 at Old Trafford against Manchester United adding to their other defeat this season at home against Chelsea. So they have yet to beat a top four side which will give sixth-placed Arsenal a glimmer of hope in this derby atmosphere.
Yes Spurs have Harry Kane who has scored in each of his last six games against Arsenal in the league and the Gunners only have an even W3 D4 L3 record in their last ten league games against the Lilywhites. But the Gunners are unbeaten in their last six home games against their North London rivals in league contests and with them humming along in great form at the Emirates this season they aren’t bad value at 6/4 with Betfair to put the win on the board.