This a semi-final fixture of the Spanish Super Cup. The Super Cup has been reformatted this year to grow from two teams to four. It features the La Liga and Copa del Rey winners of last season, along with the next two highest standing teams from the final La Liga table, who had not already qualified. The winner of this semi-final will meet the winner of Valencia v Real Madrid. The competition is being played in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Read our Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid betting tips for more.
Barcelona Even Money
Atletico Madrid 11/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on January 6th, 2020 at 3:52 p.m.)
In the 2018 edition of the Super Cup (there was no game last year), Barcelona beat Sevilla 2-1. So they are the reigning champions and face a tough task to try and successfully defend. They open in the semi-finals against Atletico Madrid. Barcelona booked their place back in the Super Cup because of their league title last season. They are 13-time winners of the Super Cup, and they will be making their 24th appearance in the tournament.
Barcelona are undefeated in their last eleven games in all competitions. They have drawn three of their last four, however, which includes a 2-2 draw out at Espanyol on January 4th, their first action of the new year. Barcelona have only secured the one clean sheet in their last six games in all competitions, so they have had their defensive issues. But then they have netted at least two goals in five of their last six played. Luis Suarez has scored in three of Barcelona’s last four fixtures.
Barcelona won 1-0 at Atletico in December in La Liga action
Each of the last five meetings have ended under 2.5 goals
Atletico are winless in nine games against Barcelona (D4 L5)
The most recent Super Cup meetings, Barcelona won on away goals
Atletico Madrid are on a four-match winning streak and opened the new calendar year with a 2-1 league victory over Levante on the weekend. It is also a four-match streak by Atleti of them scoring exactly two goals. So that is a little trend going with them. Atletico Madrid have taken a clean sheet in three of their last five fixtures, conceding just two goals in total in that little sequence of form. This recent form has been a big upswing for them.
They had taken only a W1 D4 L3 record in all competitions before this four-match winning streak. Atletico went up against Barcelona at the start of December in league action and lost 1-0 and took only 34% of possession. Lionel Messi got the winner against them just four minutes from time, just as Atleti looked to have done enough on home soil to get a draw. Atletico take their place in the Super Cup after a second-place finish in last season’s La Liga. They last won the Super Cup in 2014, their second title in the competition.
This may well be another tight encounter between the two sides, as that is the way that most of them have gone recently. But because the pattern of the game is likely to be Barcelona taking the bulk of possession, they are more likely to come up with a winner.
This is the first El Clasico of the season in the Spanish top flight. Things couldn’t be tighter at the top either because Barcelona and Real Madrid are locked on points after they could only draw their efforts on the weekend. Will Barcelona, who are top on goal difference, be able to take advantage of home soil to put a little bit of distance between themselves and their main title contenders? Read our Barcelona vs Real Madrid betting tips for more.
Real Madrid 10/3
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 15th, 2019 at 7:54 p.m.)
Barcelona had to fight back from having conceded the opening goal against Real Sociedad on the weekend. They did enough to find themselves ahead in the second half, but couldn’t deliver the win. That was an away game for them, and it snapped a four-match winning streak of league form that they have been on. On home soil in this season’s La Liga, Barcelona have won all seven of their fixtures. It has been a great goal scoring output that they have produced there as well.
It has been an average of 4.3 goals per home fixture in the league that Barcelona have produced in this campaign. 71% of games at the Nou Camp have gone over 4.5 goals. Barcelona have outscored Real Madrid by 10 league goals this season. That could be a difference-maker in El Clasico. Barcelona have only managed one clean sheet in their last seven league games in the top flight and only have one at home. However, 6 of their 7 home wins have been by a margin of at least two goals. Barca have been leading at half time in 6 of 7 home games.
Barcelona took a W3 D1 record against Real Madrid in all competitions last season
Real Madrid are winless in six games (all competitions) against Barcelona
Four of the last five league meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Barca are unbeaten in their last three home games against Madrid
Big game out on the road for Real Madrid. They may be approaching it with the thinking that avoiding defeat at their main title rivals would be something of a success. They are level on points with the leaders. So this isn’t a crazy win or bust situation for them. They do have key injuries at the moment and on the weekend, Karim Benzema scored in the 95th minute to rescue a point for them at Valencia. That is a seven-match undefeated streak of form that they are on. The weekend’s draw snapped a four-match winning streak.
Out on their top flight travels Real Madrid have posted a W4 D3 L1 record. It has only been an average of 1.6 goals per away game, but defensively they have been very good. That has actually been a big strength of theirs this season. Real Madrid have four clean sheets in their last seven league games and have only shipped 6 goals in their 7 road fixtures. Los Blancos have been level at the break in 5 of their away games. Home and away they have opened the scoring in 10 of 16 fixtures.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 15th, 2019 at 7:54 p.m.)
Barcelona have put in a great season on home soil. It’s their powerful home attack up against the rigid defence of Real Madrid. The Catalans have a lot more to offer going forward and with home soil advantage, should make this one count with a narrow victory. Home win.
Barcelona have already won the Group F with a game to spare, so they may not even bother going full strength at this Matchday Six trip to the San Siro. Inter are still in a bit of a precious spot as they are level on points with Borussia Dortmund in the race for second. Inter have to at least match whatever it is the Germans do on the night in their game against Slavia Prague. Read our Inter vs Barcelona betting tips for more.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 8th, 2019 at 12:10 p.m.)
If Inter can come up with the victory at the San Siro on Tuesday night against Barcelona, then they will be moving ahead to the next round of the competition. They are level on points with Borussia Dortmund but lead the head to head with the Germans. So Inter have to at least match whatever it is that Dortmund do in their final game. Inter have improved in the group, winning two of their last three games.
Considering they took one point only from their first two games, that’s a big improvement. But still, those two victories are the only two that Inter have nailed in their last nine Champions League games (D3 L4). Inter have played out a 1-1 home draw with Slavia Prague and a 2-0 win over Dortmund at home so far. They have suffered just one loss in their last nine European fixtures (W5 D3) at home, while they have put together a 9 match unbeaten run of form at home against Spanish teams. But with only one win in their last eleven games against Spanish opposition, will they have enough to claim maximum points?
Barcelona beat Inter 2-1 in early October
Inter are winless in four against Barcelona (D1 L3)
Inter are W3 D1 in their four previous Champions League home against Barca
Both teams have scored in two of the last nine meetings
Barcelona have won the group so don’t have to break a sweat or send out a strong side at the San Siro. They usually end up winning their groups but still, they haven’t lost a group stage fixture in the Champions League in over three years. So even when nothing is at stake they still find ways to deliver. Away from home in this campaign, Barcelona have taken four points. However, they have claimed only five wins in their last 15 Champions League road games (D6 L4).
Their record in Italy is only W6 D11 L7 so that’s not brilliant either, perhaps not enough under the circumstances for punters to back them with confidence. Barcelona are winless in their last eight visits to Italy (D5 L3). If they were to get out of the match without being beaten, it will be the 13th time that they have made it through a group stage undefeated. Barcelona have lost only two of their last 28 games not the competition and are unbeaten in total, in 19 group stage games (W13 D6).
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on December 8th, 2019 at 12:10 p.m.)
Barcelona have no interest here. It’s a good chance to keep star players on the sidelines for a break. But still, are Inter good enough to beat an under-strength Barcelona? Perhaps not, not even with home soil advantage. Draw.
A win for Atletico on Sunday evening will see them draw level on points with Barcelona in the La Liga title race. So this is a big one for them. Can Atletico defend home soil against the Catalans? One positive for Diego Simeone’s men is that they have only lost once this season, while Barcelona have suffered three road defeats already in this campaign. The Odds on Atletico Madrid to beat Barcelona are at 7/4* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 29th, 2019 at 7:12 p.m.). Read our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona betting tips for more.
Atletico Madrid 7/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 29th, 2019 at 7:12 p.m.)
Atletico Madrid have lost one league game this season. Barcelona have lost three and those were all away from home. So there is a decent chance at a big three points for Atletico. They are unbeaten in their last ten league games which is a fantastic return. However, they drew seven of those ten games. So they have surrendered a lot of points, which will be frustrating boss Diego Simeone no doubt. Atletico have taken back to back home wins, with a home record of W4D2.
Atleti have not lost any of their last 14 league home games. In 10 of their last 11 home and away in the division, the game has ended under 2.5 goals. There just doesn’t seem to be anything other than a tight, low scoring game coming up on the weekend. That would suit Atletico just fine, even though they are without a clean sheet in four. They may be the lowest scoring side in the top half of the table but hold the joint-best overall defensive record.
The last two league meetings at Atletico have ended in a 1-1 draw
Atletico are winless in 18 league games against Barca
Both teams have scored in six of the last eight meetings in all competitions
Just two of the last nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Barcelona saw Real Madrid take over at the top of the league from them on Saturday. The Catalans have won five of their last six and they hold a perfect record at the Nou Camp. However, on their travels, they have lost three times (D1 L3) in seven games. That’s not what you expect from them. The goals haven’t been flowing on the road either. Barcelona are averaging 1.4 goals per away fixture.
In contrast, they average over 4 goals per home game. Yes, Barcelona only failed to win 34 of their last 38 league games, but those away defeats leave a betting window of opportunity open. There are good stats there for them, like their eight-match unbeaten run against Atletico in all competitions and the fact that they have scored at least 2 goals in all but one of their last eight league games. But those away defeats raise some eyebrows and they have been against lesser teams than Atletico.
Is there a small gap through which Atletico can squeeze themselves to land a rare win over Barcelona.?There may well be. Barca have looked a little disjointed out on the road and the goals haven’t been flowing from them. There’s no better team around than Atletico defensively and they may be able to thwart the challenge of the visitors and grab three points.
The winner of this game will guarantee themselves a spot in the next round of the Champions League. So that is what is on the line at the Nou Camp on Wednesday night in one of the big feature matches of the evening. Naturally, the odds on Barcelona to beat Dortmund leaves the Spaniards as pretty strong favourites to bag the three points on offer. Read our Barcelona vs Dortmund betting tips for more.
Borussia Dortmund 19/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 25th, 2019 at 8:36 p.m.)
Barcelona were easily second best on their trip to Germany on Matchday One. They were disjointed, barely raised an attacking threat in the game and were lucky to get away with a point from a 0-0 draw. But the fact that they didn’t break says something about them. Barcelona have such a great record at the Nou Camp in Europe. With Dortmund not running with any kind of hot away form, the sensible proposition would be to back the odds on Barcelona to beat Dortmund at 8/15* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 25th, 2019 at 8:36 p.m.)
Following their draw out in Germany on Matchday One, Barcelona have taken a W2 D1 record in this campaign since. So it’s not been the most prolific of group stages from them. After back-to-back 2-1 successes over Inter Milan and Slavia Prague, Barca were surprisingly held to a draw against the Czech team. But still, they are undefeated in their last 34 Champions League fixtures at home, which is not to be sneezed at. Barcelona have won 30 of the games in that sequence.
If they pick up three points on Wednesday then they will win the group with a game to spare. They do have home form against German opposition, winning their last three such fixtures at the Nou Camp, scoring 9 and conceding 1 in that run of games. From their last fourteen home fixtures against German visitors, Barcelona have won thirteen. It has been only two defeats that Barcelona have taken in their last 27 Champions league fixtures (home and away).
This is Dortmund’s second visit only to the Nou Camp
The previous one was in 1998 in the UEFA Super Cup
Barcelona won the Super Cup tie 3-1 on aggregate
Barcelona are W1 D2 against Dortmund
Dortmund have the chance to secure qualification if they can pick up three points in Spain. But this is a team who have won only three of their last nine Champions League fixtures (D2 L4). Granted two of those three wins have happened this season for them, but this is a game on a different level. They really missed a great opportunity at home on Matchday One to bring down the Catalans. It leaves Dortmund with only one win in seven games against Spanish opposition (D3 L3).
Out on their travels, they have beaten Slavia Prague and have lost at Inter in this campaign. It has been three wins produced by Dortmund in their last 14 away games in Europe (D4 L7) and there just aren’t many convincing stats on their side ahead of this game. They don’t have any form in Spain where they have taken just one victory in their last fifteen visits (D5 L9). They have lost four of their last five trips there (D1) as well. With just one victory in total, home and away in their last seven games against Spanish teams, this is a tough game for the Germans.
The odds on Barcelona to beat Dortmund look pretty rock solid. Dortmund have never been able to really handle themselves all that well on their Champions League travels, and they will be up against Barcelona imperious home record. The home win should play itself out.
The comeback that Liverpool produced in the quarterfinals of their UEFA Champions League semi-final against Barcelona, will live long in memory. It was a stunning night of action at Anfield in which Liverpool miraculously overturned a 3-0 deficit from the first leg.
While there have been many stories of optimistic punters having cashed in on Liverpool’s 4-0 scoreline on the night, however one Irish punter took things just a little bit further with their efforts. They not only picked out the correct score but the correct first goalscorer too.
Liverpool got themselves off to a flying start when Divock Origi, filling in because neither Mo Salah or Roberto Firmino were available, popped up with the opening goal of the game in just the seventh minute. That was the platform on which they built their epic night.
The punter with miraculous foresight had played a €20 bet with Boylesports on the day of the game, for Divock Origi to score first and Liverpool to win 4-0 in what at the time, must have felt like nothing too much more than an optimistic scorecast.
The bet was taken at 215/1 odds and even though the first goalscorer was nailed early on, there was still nervous tension around, waiting for Liverpool to get their fourth goal. It arrived, with Origi getting his second off an opportunistic corner kick from Trent Alexander-Arnold. That meant the bet collected a sum of €4,320.
Lawrence Lyons of Boylesports said there were a few optimists who backed Liverpool to win 4-0 at odds of 50/1.
“A huge pat on the back goes to one of our punters in Limerick who nailed the 4-0 scoreline along with Origi scoring first at odds of 215/1. It was a cracking bet and I wonder if they could advise us on this weekend’s Lotto numbers.”