It is a weekend of big derby matches including this clash on Merseyside. This is one of the biggest fixtures in English football and it could have huge importance in Liverpool’s title challenge. They are the favourites to claim the win in this fixture, but Everton would love nothing more than to throw a spanner in the works of their rivals title challenge. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton at Goodison Park are 12/5* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm)
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm)
The Reds have been far from their dominant best since the turn of the new year. They had struggled to a W1 D3 record in a four-match span. But in midweek they went into action at Anfield against Bournemouth and put five goals past the Cherries. That was the attacking display which they needed to restore a bit of confidence in their ranks. They had been looking fairly flat before that.
They are in a tight duel with Manchester City for the league title so going into this Merseyside derby, they can’t ease up on their intensity levels. Liverpool though have only drawn their last two away games, having churned out disjointed and little offensive threat in games against West Ham and Manchester United. But will that release of pressure from their five-goal haul against Bournemouth get them fired back up?
Away from home, this season Liverpool are W9 D4 L1 in the top flight, the lone defeat in that sequence, in their only league defeat all season, was against Manchester City right at the turn of the new year. The Reds are W1 D2 since then on their travels, scoring just the two goals in that sequence. What could work in Liverpool’s favour for this Merseyside derby is the form that Everton have showed against top sides this season.
Everton have played a total of eleven games this season (home and away) against sides who are currently in the top half of the table. They have posted a D3 L8 record from that sequence of games. They have played six and lost six in matches against the current top six alone. They have already suffered a 1-0 loss against Liverpool this season. So Everton have really struggled to match up to the better teams in the league.
So they are going to be under pressure in their own backyard. They have suffered three defeats in their last four at Goodison Park in the top flight. In just one of their last seven home games have they managed to take a clean sheet as well. So the vulnerabilities are clearly there from them. As much as they won’t need to be pumped up for this tremendous fixture, when it comes down to quality at the end of the day, the Toffees could struggle again against their neighbours.
It has been a long time since Everton enjoyed a success against Liverpool. It is hard to see them celebrating at the end of ninety minutes in this one. Liverpool have to turn up and do their thing to stay strong in the title race. They should have enough about them to edge the win in what could be a low-scoring game. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton this weekend are at 12/5 and with some appeal* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm).
The first Merseyside derby of the season arrives on Sunday afternoon and Liverpool will be feeling the pressure. Not only do they have the home-field advantage in the derby, but they will also be putting their unbeaten form for the season on the line.
Everton are probably the last team that the Anfield crew would want to suffer their first league defeat against this season. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton are at 4/11* (Betting Odds were taken on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.) leaving Jurgen Klopp’s men as strong favourites. Can they deliver yet again?
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.)
The longer the unbeaten run of Liverpool goes on the longer that the pressure is going to mount on them. They are thirteen games into the season though with a W10 D3 record on the board and they just seem to be handling things fine in terms of pressure, at the moment. Last weekend they had a tricky away game at Watford and sailed through the game with flying colours, posting a 3-0 win.
Their form at Anfield this season is W5 D1 and the only team to deny them points at Anfield has been Manchester City in a 0-0 draw back at the start of October. Liverpool were all about their immense attacking power last season and while they have bettered their goal tally of 25 goals after 13 games of last season’s campaign by one, the clear difference is in their defence. Liverpool had conceded 18 goals after three games last season, this time around they have just the five against them.
Liverpool have conceded just the one goal at Anfield this season in the English top flight and that was surprisingly against relegation-candidates Cardiff. So that is a clean sheet for the Reds in all but one of their home games this season and Liverpool to win to nil suddenly looks a very handy proposition at 11/8 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.). Why wouldn’t it be? No-one has conceded fewer goals in the top flight than Liverpool have this season.
But they still have their attacking prowess of course and it has gotten better over the last few games. They have netted ten goals in their last four games in the top flight and it has been nine in their last four at Anfield. There has been a bit of a trend running with Mo Salah. The Egyptian has scored the opening goal in four of Liverpool’s last five games and on the back of that he looks a valuable 13/5 first goalscorer punt.
Liverpool tend not to sit back early in games and they have been leading at the halftime break in all but one of their home games this season (the 0-0 against Man City the exception). So they are able to come out, get the goal on the board and see games out. Manchester City are the only side with a better home record than Liverpool in this season’s campaign and with the Reds unbeaten in their last seventeen Merseyside derby matches (all competitions) the omens look good for the Reds as well.
The Toffees have looked a much better unit this season under Marco Silva, and they drew great comments when they played out a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea in their last away game. They deserved the point as well. They have moved up to sixth in the table with five wins in their last seven games (D1 L1) so there has been a bit of momentum from the blue side of Merseyside. However, there is a clear disparity between their home strengths and their away strengths.
Everton have won just the one away game in the top flight this season (D3 L2) and that was out at Leicester at the start of October. If means from their four games away at sides currently above them in the top eight, Everton are winless (D2 L2), failing to score in two of those as well. The Toffees have scored almost twice as many goals at home as they have done away this season and have earned only the one clean sheet on their travels. It points to them not being ready to break their long winless spell in the league at Anfield.
The third Merseyside derby of the season is coming up on the weekend as Liverpool make the short trip across the City to Goodison Park to meet their rivals. The two played out a 1-1 draw when they met back in early December last year at Anfield, Mo Salah opening the scoring for the Reds before a Wayne Rooney penalty thirteen minutes from time gave the Toffees a share of the spoils.
In early January they went head to head again at Anfield in an FA Cup third-round tie and Liverpool prevailed 2-1. For the Reds this is more than just a Merseyside derby, this is a chance for them to continue their push for a top-two finish this season. The Reds start the weekend in third place, two points behind second-placed Manchester United who have a game in hand over them as well. So Liverpool can’t let up on their pace.
Liverpool 10/11, Draw 13/5, Everton 11/4* (betting odds taken on April 5th, 2018 at 3:08 a.m.)
The Reds have produced a W9 D3 L4 record on their travels in the top flight and they have won three of their last four away from Anfield now. The other game in that sequence was their defeat at Old Trafford to Manchester United last month. They have scored at least two goals in their last eleven road games and it is little surprise really that they are going into his Merseyside derby as the favourites. Given the superior firepower that they have, Liverpool are 8/1 odds with Bet365* (betting odds taken on April 5th, 2018 at 3:08 a.m.) to win 2-1 in the correct score market.
The Reds are unbeaten in their last sixteen games against Everton in all competitions they have remained undefeated in their last six trips to Goodison Park specifically in the Premier League (W3 D3). They are stacked with scoring power and they will have even more confidence after beating Manchester City in the Champions League in midweek as well at Anfield, a thumping 3-0 success in the first leg.
Liverpool have scored 37 goals in 16 away games this season for an average of 2.3 per game away from Anfield and it’s been just a show of attacking power after a show of attacking power. 44% of their road games this season in the Premier League have ended over 3.5 goals which is remarkable. They have not perhaps produced the number of clean sheets as they would have liked, as they have taken one in just 25% of their away games. Both teams have scored in 62% of their away games.
Liverpool have scored in each of their last eight games and while Everton have actually done alright recently on home soil, winning three of their last four, it is perhaps their last home fixture which paints a picture for this one. Last weekend Everton played host to Manchester City and barely raised threat in a limp 3-1 loss against the league leaders. With Liverpool having beaten Man City in both the league and now in a Champions League game this season, it stands to reason that they can do the number on Everton.
Everton have scored in each of the last five home games and at least two in seven of their nine home wins this season. So they should play their part in a high scoring game turning up here and over 3.5 goals is coming in at 2/1 odds with bet365* (betting odds taken on April 5th, 2018 at 3:08 a.m.) which should appeal to punters. But still, whatever they have to throw at Liverpool probably won’t be enough on the day to stop the powerful red juggernaut.
Sunday’s late kick off in the Premier League is Manchester United v Everton and this will see Wayne Rooney returning back to Old Trafford, and Romelu Lukaku reuniting with his former club too. Manchester United’s strong start to the season sees them going as favourites on home soil, especially with Everton being slow out of the starting gates this season.
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Chelsea start at Stamford Bridge against Burnley and the reigning champions are expected to bank three comfortable points in this one. The Clarets look as if they could be set for some struggles this season with such a small budget to work with. The Clarets are one of the favourites to suffer relegation this season from the top flight.
Everton are also at home as they take on Stoke at Goodison Park. Stoke have received plenty of backing to get relegated this season and they have lost some key players without, so far at least, having replaced them. Everton are odds-on to take the victory in the match and then rounding out this special price offer at Sky Bet is Crystal Palace.
Crystal Palace then start on home soil and like Everton and Chelsea are favourites to win. They get a shot against the newly promoted Huddersfield who are the outright favourites to suffer the drop straight back down to the second tier. So this could be a good chance for the Eagles to bag three points.
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What a cracking match we have to start the Premier League weekend with. English games don’t get much bigger than a Merseyside derby and Liverpool will be looking to complete the league double over their rivals this season. Can Jurgen Klopp become the first Liverpool managed to win his first three Merseyside league derbies? The Reds are unbeaten in their last 12 league encounters with the Toffees and with them boasting a great W10 D2 L1 record at Anfield this season, they are favourites for the victory.
The Toffees are looking for their first league win at Anfield since September 1999 and if they can land it, it will probably be thanks to Romelu Lukaku who is having a brilliant time of things in front of goal with a 21 league haul this season. Lukaku has fired off 11 goals in his league appearances in the 2017 calendar year and is currently on a four match scoring streak. Everton have put on great form in the second half of their season and have lost just one of their last twelve. Can Lukaku fire them to success in the derby?
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