UEFA Super Cup 2019 Preview – Wednesday August 14th, 2019 at 8.00 pm
The first-ever all English UEFA Super Cup will happen on Wednesday night from Istanbul. This is the traditional annual match between the previous season’s Champions League and Europa League winners. After so much success for English sides in the UEFA competitions last campaign, European champions Liverpool will be looking to add more silverware to their cabinet.
The odds on Liverpool to beat Chelsea are at 4/7 making them red-hot favourites* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 12th, 2019 at 2:24 p.m.)
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 12th, 2019 at 2:24 p.m.)
Liverpool didn’t have an easy road to the Champions League final last season. Not by any stretch of the imagination. In the group stage, for example, they had to deal with some tough games against Napoli, PSG and Red Star Belgrade. Liverpool won three and lost three of those six games and were under some big pressure there. But they got out in second place behind PSG and that meant a tough draw was waiting for them in the round of sixteen.
Liverpool took on Bayern Munich but produced a show of strength away from home in the second leg to produce a 3-1 aggregate win. They sent FC Porto packing in the quarter-finals before their momentous semi-final tussle with Barcelona. Liverpool won through 4-3 on aggregate but that was remarkably only after having lost the first leg 3-0 away from home. It was a stunning response that they came up with at Anfield. In the Final, they met Tottenham, with Mo Salah setting the Reds on their way within two minutes and easing to a 2-0 success.
Because of the set up that Liverpool have under Jurgen Klopp, they are regarded as one of the best in Europe and would be even if they didn’t have that Champions League title to hand. Their form throughout last season both on the domestic and European front was remarkable. They lost the Premier League title by a single point of Manchester City but only lost one league game all campaign. Still, they managed to push the Citizens so close with the extra burden of having to deal with those big European nights in the Champions League.
The Reds didn’t strengthen their squad over the summer by throwing the cheque book around. They seem pretty happy with what they have got and it’s hard to argue with that. It’s hard to see a perceivable area in which they could really have improved, aside from potentially luring Philippe Coutinho back to the club on loan. That didn’t pan out though so the Reds are pretty much as they were. With their wonderful attacking arsenal, it’s not a bad place to be in at all anyway.
Mo Salah. Roberto Firmino. Sadio Mane. It was a front line which struck fear into the hearts of defences on the domestic and European fronts last season. Watching them it’s easy to see why. While the bulk of the goals came from Mane and Salah, Firmino plays such an important supporting role, creating space for others and creating assists. They have blended together so well that it is an enviable attack that the Reds have.
The odds on Liverpool to beat Chelsea and Mo Salah to score in a Score/Win Double is at 13/8* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 12th, 2019 at 2:24 p.m.). The speed and clinical finishing of Salah is their biggest asset of all. He is the star power of a star-studded trio of players and it is hard to imagine that they are not going to create chances against a Chelsea team who looked defensively fragile on the weekend.
Much has been made about Chelsea’s situation over the summer. They have an inexperienced manager at the helm in Frank Lampard. They have a transfer ban so haven’t been able to strengthen over the summer. Given the start that they had to the new Premier League season on the week, a bruising 4-0 loss against Manchester United, that just compound the problems that the Stamford Bridge club have at the moment.
Of course, Lampard is going to need time to find his feet in the top flight. His managerial experience extends to one Championship season with Derby. He clearly has some kind of plan to turn Chelsea into a young, exciting team playing attractive football. They looked decent in the attack, and if Tammy Abraham starts hitting the net, they should be fine, but there is the feeling that they are lacking a world-class number nine. They were defensively naive as well against Manchester United, boldly trying to play and open game which left them exposed to United’s counter-attack, which was just playing into the hands of the hosts.
Liverpool may have only won one of their last six games against Chelsea but that win was in their most recent league meeting from last season, a 2-0 success at Anfield. Liverpool looked as if they just picked up immediately from where they left off last season, whereas the Blues, despite some positive enterprise look to have a lot of cracks to fill in.
This could be another great European night in Istanbul for the Reds as they enter into their sixth Super Cup. They have won three of their five previous visits to the fixture and were the most recent English winners as well, beating CSKA Moscow in extra time back in 2005. It should be a comfortable ride for Liverpool.
The odds on Liverpool to beat Chelsea to nil are at 15/8 and doesn’t look like a bad price at all* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on August 12th, 2019 at 2:24 p.m.)
The UEFA Champions League final will be kicking off at 8.00 pm on Saturday night from the Metropolitano in Madrid. For the second time in the history of the Champions League, there is an all-English final. The previous one was when Man Utd beat Chelsea on penalties in the 2008 Final.
This time around it is Liverpool who will be lining up against Tottenham, who are making their European Cup FInal debut. The odds on Liverpool to beat Tottenham are at 19/20* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 26th, 2019 at 9:22 p.m.).
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 26th, 2019 at 9:22 p.m.)
When you think about it, it has been quite a tough twelve months for Liverpool. Roughly this time last year they were lining up against Real Madrid in the Final of the Champions League. The night didn’t go to plan at all for Jurgen Klopp’s men as they fell to a 3-1 defeat, unravelled by some goalkeeping howlers from Loris Karius.
Then recently, at the end of a brilliant Premier League campaign, where they lost one game all season, they still couldn’t land their first ever EPL title. They were pipped to the post by Manchester City. So will the Reds finally put all of that behind them when they step out against Spurs on Saturday night? The odds on Liverpool to beat Spurs & both teams score is at 11/4 Tottenham v Liverpool Betting Odds*. That’s the way it’s been between them this season.
Liverpool claimed 2-1 victories over Spurs during the Premier League season. In the first one at Anfield, it was Spurs who scored a last minute goal, albeit being too little too late. Then in the reverse fixture at Wembley, Liverpool got a last minute goal to get the victory. That was their ninth win over Spurs in the last fourteen meetings (L1).
So the Reds are well on top from the recent clashes between the two sides. They have, however, never met in a game of such magnitude as this. So does that level the playing field a little bit? Will Liverpool’s recent experience of such a big occasion serve as a key factor in them driving forward to success against a Spurs team who may rightly feel a little overawed by the occasion?
Another reason to lean towards both teams scoring on the night will be because of recent matches between Tottenham and Liverpool having produced goals. Seven of the last eight fixtures between the two teams have seen both teams to score. Five of the last six meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, just as this season’s two Premier League meetings did.
Both teams have scored in each of the last eight Champions League Finals as well, so there’s another trend. Three of the last four Champions League finals have seen at least four goals scored in them. So this isn’t a match which particularly looks as if it is going to be between two teams who are just going to step out in Madrid and shut up shop.
Liverpool have won all but one of their last fourteen games played in all competition, losing the other one. That is an astonishing run of form from them. In that sequence of fourteen fixtures, the Reds scored at least two goals in all but one of them as well. So they certainly finished the season with a massive bang. Incidentally, the one defeat in that sequence was their 3-0 loss at the Camp Nou against Barcelona in their Champions League semi-final. Not even that stopped them though as they won the second leg 4-0.
Spurs didn’t have quite the same impact at the end of their season. In fact, there were times that they look heavy-legged and uninspired. Their Premier League title challenge drastically fell away with a massive slump of form and they ended the season with five defeats in their last eight games played in all competitions (W2 D1). So they are the ones who really have to try and pick themselves up and sort themselves out. They took just one clean sheet in their last eight games as well, not a great stat to have before facing up to a powerful scoring unit like Liverpool.
Liverpool have claimed the European Cup five times before in their history and this will be their ninth Final. It’s such a rich history that they have and it is the third time in the history of having reached consecutive UEFA finals. Jurgen Klopp has created a powerful team and with their head to head form against Spurs, are justifiable favourites. It’s been a dramatic season for both. What more awaits in the finale?
The comeback that Liverpool produced in the quarterfinals of their UEFA Champions League semi-final against Barcelona, will live long in memory. It was a stunning night of action at Anfield in which Liverpool miraculously overturned a 3-0 deficit from the first leg.
While there have been many stories of optimistic punters having cashed in on Liverpool’s 4-0 scoreline on the night, however one Irish punter took things just a little bit further with their efforts. They not only picked out the correct score but the correct first goalscorer too.
Liverpool got themselves off to a flying start when Divock Origi, filling in because neither Mo Salah or Roberto Firmino were available, popped up with the opening goal of the game in just the seventh minute. That was the platform on which they built their epic night.
The punter with miraculous foresight had played a €20 bet with Boylesports on the day of the game, for Divock Origi to score first and Liverpool to win 4-0 in what at the time, must have felt like nothing too much more than an optimistic scorecast.
The bet was taken at 215/1 odds and even though the first goalscorer was nailed early on, there was still nervous tension around, waiting for Liverpool to get their fourth goal. It arrived, with Origi getting his second off an opportunistic corner kick from Trent Alexander-Arnold. That meant the bet collected a sum of €4,320.
Lawrence Lyons of Boylesports said there were a few optimists who backed Liverpool to win 4-0 at odds of 50/1.
“A huge pat on the back goes to one of our punters in Limerick who nailed the 4-0 scoreline along with Origi scoring first at odds of 215/1. It was a cracking bet and I wonder if they could advise us on this weekend’s Lotto numbers.”
Is there going to be one more amazing twist in what has been such a stunning Premier League title race this season? Liverpool need to come up with one final huge effort at Anfield on the weekend. They have to take three points from this home game and hope that Manchester City fail to produce a win at Brighton. That is the only way that Liverpool, after so many years, can finally touch Premier League success.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
Liverpool have been in such scintillating form recently. They have put together an eight-match winning streak in the top flight, so they can’t really had done anything more. Naturally, down the final stretch of the season, there have been wobbles here and there. They have rode their luck in the sequence to get notable wins at Fulham and at home against Spurs. They have left things very late as they did against Newcastle last weekend in grinding out a 3-2 win.
But their resilience and never-say-die spirit has kept them going. That was on show on Tuesday when they produced a 4-0 home win over Barcelona in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final tie against the Spaniards. That saw the Reds overturn a 3-0 first leg deficit. That was a night full of emotion and raw energy. The question is, will that huge, momentous effort have taken anything out of them ahead of the final weekend of the EPL season?
Liverpool are on a six-match Premier League winning streak at Anfield and they scored at least two goals in each of those successes. That is part of an overall W16 D2 L0 record which Liverpool have produced on home soil this season. It’s been a magnificent effort at both ends of the pitch from them. The Reds have averaged 2.94 goals per home league game this season while their defence has stood up to the task as well.
Liverpool have conceded an average of 0.56 goals per game against them, totalling a clean sheet in 61% of home games. That’s a tremendous return and they will go into this one against Wolves with back to back home clean sheets to their name. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last sixteen Premier League games, home and away and at Anfield, they have netted in each of their last fourteen fixtures there. Going back to their scoring they have scored at least two goals in each of their last eight played, home and away.
Surely that powerful home record is not going to fail Liverpool at the last hurdle? Given the self-belief that they showed against Barcelona in midweek, it’s not looking likely. But what about Wolves? What will they bring to the table? On the evidence of their performances against the strongest teams away from home this season, a pretty decent challenge could be the answer to that question.
Wolves are W1 D3 L1 in their five matches against the other big six in the league away from home this season. That’s a fantastic return. The one loss in that sequence was at Manchester City when Wolves were taken down to ten men early in the game. The overall away record for the season from Wolves is only W6 D5 L7 but they are a tough side to break down when they are on their game. Home away Wolves have won each of their last three Premier League fixtures, including a success over Arsenal in that run.
Given what Wolves have produced against the stronger teams this season the danger for Liverpool is not about seeing Wolves win, as that’s unlikely. It’s about their resilience and ability to deny Liverpool the three points they need. But Liverpool have been thriving under pressure this season and they are likely to get over the finish line. The odds on Liverpool to win to nil are 6/5* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.).
Liverpool arguably get their toughest test of this Champions League campaign as they step out at the Camp Nou to face Barcelona in the first leg of this semi-final on Wednesday evening. Being able to return to Anfield for the second leg with Barcelona not out of sight, is going to be vitally important for the Premier League side.
Even though they are facing a Barcelona team who will are on a massive streak of undefeated form at home in Europe, Liverpool are the only English side ever to win at the Nou Camp in European action. The odds on Liverpool to beat Barcelona are 10/3* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)
The Reds were not drawn in the easiest of groups as they had to go up against French champions PSG and strong Italian outfit Napoli. However, the Reds did enough to get themselves through, despite losing all three of their away fixtures. They definitely step things up in the round of 16 where they went up against heavyweights Bayern Munich. After a home draw in the first leg, Liverpool went to Germany and posted a superb victory.
That moved them onto the slightly easier tie in the quarter-finals as they took on Portuguese side, Porto. Liverpool were on a four-match losing streak away from home in Europe before they picked up their second leg victory at Bayern Munich by a 3-1 scoreline. They won their away game at Porto then by a 4-1 margin. So even though they have lost five of their last 12 European fixtures, and all five of those defeats in that sequence happening away from home, their form has suddenly picked up.
Liverpool are now unbeaten in five European games, winning four of those. Without question, this is going to be the toughest game of their campaign so far. Getting something on the board could be crucial for the return leg. How precious would an away goal be for the Reds in this game? They do have the attacking power with both Mo Salah and Sadio Mane in fantastic scoring form currently. Will they be able to strike out on the counter-attack against Barcelona?
Liverpool are W8 D2 in two-legged UEFA knockout ties with Spanish sides and they have won all three previous two-legged ties against Barcelona in Europe. In terms of matches against Barcelona, Liverpool lead 3-2 in the head-to-head from eight previous games. Liverpool have however only taken one win in their last eight games against Spanish clubs (D2 L5) so that will throw a bit of a question mark over them. However, the Reds are undefeated in their last 19 games across all competitions.
Just put into context of what Barcelona are going to bring to the table, they are undefeated in their last 31 European home games. That is a massive record from such a massive club. However the interesting thing about this tie now is that not only are they behind Liverpool in the head-to-head, but Barcelona have lost three of their last five Champions League semi-final ties. So they have been bottling it a bit at this stage of the campaign.
Will Liverpool be able to take advantage? There is of course so many positive stats surrounding Barcelona. They have for example won 15 of the 25 two-legged ties against English sides in Europe, including the last five. They have lost just one of their last nine ties against English opposition. Already this season from their group stage games against Spurs and quarter-final games against Manchester United, Barcelona have won three of their four games against English opposition. The Catalans have only suffered one defeat in their last 15 European games against Premier League sides, winning 11.
Barcelona have only ever lost two home games in Europe against English teams (W21 D11) but again the fascinating thing is that those two defeats were against Liverpool. That having been said Barcelona hold a W8 D2 record in their last 10 home games against English visitors. This season at home in Europe they have won four of their five games played (D1) and they are unbeaten in 13 knockout games at the Camp Nou (W11 D2). They are the only undefeated team left in the competition and they, of course, have Lionel Messi who has 10 goals to his name in this campaign. Barcelona are currently undefeated in 22 games across all competitions, unbeaten in 18 at home.
This has the making of such a fantastic game because Liverpool are just not going to crawl into their shell and try and produceda defensive performance. They are bold enough to have a go at Barcelona, particularly on the counter-attack. It is worth having a look at both teams getting on the scoresheet because Liverpool can trouble any defence in Europe at the moment.
The odds-on Liverpool to be Barcelona in this first leg at 10/3 are justifiably long, but right now in Europe if there is one team to back to go the Camp Nou and claim a victory, it is the Reds.
Of the five games that Liverpool have left in their campaign, this one on Sunday against Chelsea looks the toughest of them all. This is the last time this season that they will play one of the other Big Six. So more than ever they need to hold their nerve now as they try and strive towards the league title. The odds on Liverpool to beat Chelsea are at 17/4* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 12th, 2019 at 4:20 pm)
It has not been plain sailing for Liverpool recently. Not by any stretch of the imagination. In the last four games played they have had to fight back from conceding the opening goal against Burnley and Southampton matches. Then they managed to benefit from mistakes made by Fulham and Tottenham to secure victories. Even though those struggles though, the Reds have managed to secure four straight wins.
So they have had luck on their side, they have shown a bit of character as well along the way to keep the pressure on Manchester City at the top. All that Liverpool can keep on doing now is win all of their remaining five games and hope that the Citizens slip up somewhere in the run in. So far this season the Reds are W3 D1 in their four games against the other Big Six sides at Anfield. Can they make it count in this one?
The home form of Liverpool has been fantastic. They remain undefeated at Anfield in the Premier League, winning all but two of their fixtures there. The Reds have scored an average of 2.9 goals per home game this season and they have netted at least two goals in each of their last four there. The Reds have scored in each of their last twelve on home soil as well.
They have been a defensive rock as well with a clean sheet having been earned in 56% of their home league games. They have shipped just the ten goals in total, an average of 0.6 per game against at Anfield. Still, with their own scoring output, 69% of fixtures at Liverpool have gone over 2.5 goals. Liverpool have also been leading at the half time break in nine of their home fixtures.
Four of the last five league meetings between these two at Anfield have ended in a 1-1 draw. Liverpool are actually winless on home soil in their last eight against Chelsea in all competitions. That includes a home EFL Cup loss against the Blues back in September.
But then Liverpool are facing a Chelsea side who have been having a rough time of things away from home. Maurizio Sarri’s men have lost four of their last six games played now, winning the other two. The two wins in that sequence were against bottom-three sides Cardiff and Fulham, and the Blues only banked 2-1 wins against those opponents.
They didn’t score in any of those four defeats in that sequence either. So they have struggled to prove themselves against the better teams in the division all season. Away from home, this season Chelsea have lost all five away games played against sides in the top half of the table. They produced just the two goals in those matches as well. So while they remain the biggest obstacle between Liverpool and a perfect run in, the Blues aren’t in great form.
This should be Liverpool’s day. Chelsea do have a top-four finish to play for so have to be hungry for this. But they have produced some really flat and uninspired displays recently and they don’t have the clinical finishing touch about them that Liverpool have.
This may well end up being another tight battle between the two of them, but maybe this time Liverpool can get over the finish line and the odds on Liverpool to win to nil are at 15/8* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 12th, 2019 at 4:20 pm).