The comeback that Liverpool produced in the quarterfinals of their UEFA Champions League semi-final against Barcelona, will live long in memory. It was a stunning night of action at Anfield in which Liverpool miraculously overturned a 3-0 deficit from the first leg.
While there have been many stories of optimistic punters having cashed in on Liverpool’s 4-0 scoreline on the night, however one Irish punter took things just a little bit further with their efforts. They not only picked out the correct score but the correct first goalscorer too.
Liverpool got themselves off to a flying start when Divock Origi, filling in because neither Mo Salah or Roberto Firmino were available, popped up with the opening goal of the game in just the seventh minute. That was the platform on which they built their epic night.
The punter with miraculous foresight had played a €20 bet with Boylesports on the day of the game, for Divock Origi to score first and Liverpool to win 4-0 in what at the time, must have felt like nothing too much more than an optimistic scorecast.
The bet was taken at 215/1 odds and even though the first goalscorer was nailed early on, there was still nervous tension around, waiting for Liverpool to get their fourth goal. It arrived, with Origi getting his second off an opportunistic corner kick from Trent Alexander-Arnold. That meant the bet collected a sum of €4,320.
Lawrence Lyons of Boylesports said there were a few optimists who backed Liverpool to win 4-0 at odds of 50/1.
“A huge pat on the back goes to one of our punters in Limerick who nailed the 4-0 scoreline along with Origi scoring first at odds of 215/1. It was a cracking bet and I wonder if they could advise us on this weekend’s Lotto numbers.”
Is there going to be one more amazing twist in what has been such a stunning Premier League title race this season? Liverpool need to come up with one final huge effort at Anfield on the weekend. They have to take three points from this home game and hope that Manchester City fail to produce a win at Brighton. That is the only way that Liverpool, after so many years, can finally touch Premier League success.
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)
Liverpool have been in such scintillating form recently. They have put together an eight-match winning streak in the top flight, so they can’t really had done anything more. Naturally, down the final stretch of the season, there have been wobbles here and there. They have rode their luck in the sequence to get notable wins at Fulham and at home against Spurs. They have left things very late as they did against Newcastle last weekend in grinding out a 3-2 win.
But their resilience and never-say-die spirit has kept them going. That was on show on Tuesday when they produced a 4-0 home win over Barcelona in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final tie against the Spaniards. That saw the Reds overturn a 3-0 first leg deficit. That was a night full of emotion and raw energy. The question is, will that huge, momentous effort have taken anything out of them ahead of the final weekend of the EPL season?
Liverpool are on a six-match Premier League winning streak at Anfield and they scored at least two goals in each of those successes. That is part of an overall W16 D2 L0 record which Liverpool have produced on home soil this season. It’s been a magnificent effort at both ends of the pitch from them. The Reds have averaged 2.94 goals per home league game this season while their defence has stood up to the task as well.
Liverpool have conceded an average of 0.56 goals per game against them, totalling a clean sheet in 61% of home games. That’s a tremendous return and they will go into this one against Wolves with back to back home clean sheets to their name. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last sixteen Premier League games, home and away and at Anfield, they have netted in each of their last fourteen fixtures there. Going back to their scoring they have scored at least two goals in each of their last eight played, home and away.
Surely that powerful home record is not going to fail Liverpool at the last hurdle? Given the self-belief that they showed against Barcelona in midweek, it’s not looking likely. But what about Wolves? What will they bring to the table? On the evidence of their performances against the strongest teams away from home this season, a pretty decent challenge could be the answer to that question.
Wolves are W1 D3 L1 in their five matches against the other big six in the league away from home this season. That’s a fantastic return. The one loss in that sequence was at Manchester City when Wolves were taken down to ten men early in the game. The overall away record for the season from Wolves is only W6 D5 L7 but they are a tough side to break down when they are on their game. Home away Wolves have won each of their last three Premier League fixtures, including a success over Arsenal in that run.
Given what Wolves have produced against the stronger teams this season the danger for Liverpool is not about seeing Wolves win, as that’s unlikely. It’s about their resilience and ability to deny Liverpool the three points they need. But Liverpool have been thriving under pressure this season and they are likely to get over the finish line. The odds on Liverpool to win to nil are 6/5* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.).
Liverpool arguably get their toughest test of this Champions League campaign as they step out at the Camp Nou to face Barcelona in the first leg of this semi-final on Wednesday evening. Being able to return to Anfield for the second leg with Barcelona not out of sight, is going to be vitally important for the Premier League side.
Even though they are facing a Barcelona team who will are on a massive streak of undefeated form at home in Europe, Liverpool are the only English side ever to win at the Nou Camp in European action. The odds on Liverpool to beat Barcelona are 10/3* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on April 29th, 2019 at 6:15 p.m.)
The Reds were not drawn in the easiest of groups as they had to go up against French champions PSG and strong Italian outfit Napoli. However, the Reds did enough to get themselves through, despite losing all three of their away fixtures. They definitely step things up in the round of 16 where they went up against heavyweights Bayern Munich. After a home draw in the first leg, Liverpool went to Germany and posted a superb victory.
That moved them onto the slightly easier tie in the quarter-finals as they took on Portuguese side, Porto. Liverpool were on a four-match losing streak away from home in Europe before they picked up their second leg victory at Bayern Munich by a 3-1 scoreline. They won their away game at Porto then by a 4-1 margin. So even though they have lost five of their last 12 European fixtures, and all five of those defeats in that sequence happening away from home, their form has suddenly picked up.
Liverpool are now unbeaten in five European games, winning four of those. Without question, this is going to be the toughest game of their campaign so far. Getting something on the board could be crucial for the return leg. How precious would an away goal be for the Reds in this game? They do have the attacking power with both Mo Salah and Sadio Mane in fantastic scoring form currently. Will they be able to strike out on the counter-attack against Barcelona?
Liverpool are W8 D2 in two-legged UEFA knockout ties with Spanish sides and they have won all three previous two-legged ties against Barcelona in Europe. In terms of matches against Barcelona, Liverpool lead 3-2 in the head-to-head from eight previous games. Liverpool have however only taken one win in their last eight games against Spanish clubs (D2 L5) so that will throw a bit of a question mark over them. However, the Reds are undefeated in their last 19 games across all competitions.
Just put into context of what Barcelona are going to bring to the table, they are undefeated in their last 31 European home games. That is a massive record from such a massive club. However the interesting thing about this tie now is that not only are they behind Liverpool in the head-to-head, but Barcelona have lost three of their last five Champions League semi-final ties. So they have been bottling it a bit at this stage of the campaign.
Will Liverpool be able to take advantage? There is of course so many positive stats surrounding Barcelona. They have for example won 15 of the 25 two-legged ties against English sides in Europe, including the last five. They have lost just one of their last nine ties against English opposition. Already this season from their group stage games against Spurs and quarter-final games against Manchester United, Barcelona have won three of their four games against English opposition. The Catalans have only suffered one defeat in their last 15 European games against Premier League sides, winning 11.
Barcelona have only ever lost two home games in Europe against English teams (W21 D11) but again the fascinating thing is that those two defeats were against Liverpool. That having been said Barcelona hold a W8 D2 record in their last 10 home games against English visitors. This season at home in Europe they have won four of their five games played (D1) and they are unbeaten in 13 knockout games at the Camp Nou (W11 D2). They are the only undefeated team left in the competition and they, of course, have Lionel Messi who has 10 goals to his name in this campaign. Barcelona are currently undefeated in 22 games across all competitions, unbeaten in 18 at home.
This has the making of such a fantastic game because Liverpool are just not going to crawl into their shell and try and produceda defensive performance. They are bold enough to have a go at Barcelona, particularly on the counter-attack. It is worth having a look at both teams getting on the scoresheet because Liverpool can trouble any defence in Europe at the moment.
The odds-on Liverpool to be Barcelona in this first leg at 10/3 are justifiably long, but right now in Europe if there is one team to back to go the Camp Nou and claim a victory, it is the Reds.
Of the five games that Liverpool have left in their campaign, this one on Sunday against Chelsea looks the toughest of them all. This is the last time this season that they will play one of the other Big Six. So more than ever they need to hold their nerve now as they try and strive towards the league title. The odds on Liverpool to beat Chelsea are at 17/4* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 12th, 2019 at 4:20 pm)
It has not been plain sailing for Liverpool recently. Not by any stretch of the imagination. In the last four games played they have had to fight back from conceding the opening goal against Burnley and Southampton matches. Then they managed to benefit from mistakes made by Fulham and Tottenham to secure victories. Even though those struggles though, the Reds have managed to secure four straight wins.
So they have had luck on their side, they have shown a bit of character as well along the way to keep the pressure on Manchester City at the top. All that Liverpool can keep on doing now is win all of their remaining five games and hope that the Citizens slip up somewhere in the run in. So far this season the Reds are W3 D1 in their four games against the other Big Six sides at Anfield. Can they make it count in this one?
The home form of Liverpool has been fantastic. They remain undefeated at Anfield in the Premier League, winning all but two of their fixtures there. The Reds have scored an average of 2.9 goals per home game this season and they have netted at least two goals in each of their last four there. The Reds have scored in each of their last twelve on home soil as well.
They have been a defensive rock as well with a clean sheet having been earned in 56% of their home league games. They have shipped just the ten goals in total, an average of 0.6 per game against at Anfield. Still, with their own scoring output, 69% of fixtures at Liverpool have gone over 2.5 goals. Liverpool have also been leading at the half time break in nine of their home fixtures.
Four of the last five league meetings between these two at Anfield have ended in a 1-1 draw. Liverpool are actually winless on home soil in their last eight against Chelsea in all competitions. That includes a home EFL Cup loss against the Blues back in September.
But then Liverpool are facing a Chelsea side who have been having a rough time of things away from home. Maurizio Sarri’s men have lost four of their last six games played now, winning the other two. The two wins in that sequence were against bottom-three sides Cardiff and Fulham, and the Blues only banked 2-1 wins against those opponents.
They didn’t score in any of those four defeats in that sequence either. So they have struggled to prove themselves against the better teams in the division all season. Away from home, this season Chelsea have lost all five away games played against sides in the top half of the table. They produced just the two goals in those matches as well. So while they remain the biggest obstacle between Liverpool and a perfect run in, the Blues aren’t in great form.
This should be Liverpool’s day. Chelsea do have a top-four finish to play for so have to be hungry for this. But they have produced some really flat and uninspired displays recently and they don’t have the clinical finishing touch about them that Liverpool have.
This may well end up being another tight battle between the two of them, but maybe this time Liverpool can get over the finish line and the odds on Liverpool to win to nil are at 15/8* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 12th, 2019 at 4:20 pm).
The top three clash between Liverpool and Everton is going to be the big game to look forward to this weekend in the Premier League. This is a game of massive importance as well in both the title race and the race for a top-four finish. Liverpool are 11/20 odds-on to beat Tottenham at Anfield in Sunday’s showdown.
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on March 27th, 2019 at 7:03 pm)
Manchester City will be playing early on Saturday against Fulham so Liverpool will know the state of play at the top of the table before they kick off in this one. If Manchester City beat the Cottagers it means that the Reds will have to produce a win in order to go back to the top. Liverpool start the weekend two points ahead of the Citizens, but the reigning champions have a game in hand over them.
Liverpool do have a wonderful home record this season in the top flight. They are undefeated at Anfield all season and they are on a three-match winning streak there currently. The Reds rattled off 12 goals in their last three home fixtures and they have scored at least three goals in all but one of their last eight at Anfield. It’s been impressive stuff. Their scoring sits at 44 goals in total, an average of 2.9 goals per home fixture.
But it’s not just been a story about their scoring exploits this season. That has almost taken a back seat actually. The defence of Liverpool, led by Virgil van Dijk has been so impressive. They have only conceded nine goals at home in the league this season, taking a clean sheet in 60% of all their home games. They have taken two clean sheets in their last three on home soil now. The Reds have won 53% of their home games to nil this season.
Following this game against Spurs, the Reds will only have one remaining game against another of the so-called big six. That is when Chelsea pay a visit in mid-April. So far at home this season against the others, Liverpool have taken big wins over Arsenal and Manchester United, while they dug out a 0-0 draw under the challenge of Manchester City in a strangely cautious game.
Although they have their first game at their new stadium coming up to look forward to, the form of Tottenham has fallen away dramatically in their recent run of games. It has been a disappointing return of just one point in their last four games now for the Lilywhites. They were well in the mix for a title challenge, but they couldn’t withstand the pressure and keep themselves in there. That’s all fallen away now for them. They are W2 D1 L5 in their games against the other Big Six this season.
It has fallen away to the point where their top four finish is no longer looking a certainty as just four points separates them in third place and Chelsea in sixth. What could play into the hands of Liverpool even more, is that Spurs are on a three-match losing streak away from home? They have suffered straight defeats against Burnley, Chelsea and Southampton that sequence, conceding exactly two goals in each of them. Spurs have managed just one clean sheet in their last nine league games.
Liverpool should have the edge with Tottenham’s defence having crumbled to some poor defeats recently on their travels. This is a big chance for Liverpool to take another step towards a potential league title in knocking off another of the Big Six at Anfield. Given the strength of Liverpool’s defence, Liverpool to beat Tottenham without conceding is at 15/8 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on March 27th, 2019 at 7:03 pm)
It is a weekend of big derby matches including this clash on Merseyside. This is one of the biggest fixtures in English football and it could have huge importance in Liverpool’s title challenge. They are the favourites to claim the win in this fixture, but Everton would love nothing more than to throw a spanner in the works of their rivals title challenge. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton at Goodison Park are 12/5* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm)
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm)
The Reds have been far from their dominant best since the turn of the new year. They had struggled to a W1 D3 record in a four-match span. But in midweek they went into action at Anfield against Bournemouth and put five goals past the Cherries. That was the attacking display which they needed to restore a bit of confidence in their ranks. They had been looking fairly flat before that.
They are in a tight duel with Manchester City for the league title so going into this Merseyside derby, they can’t ease up on their intensity levels. Liverpool though have only drawn their last two away games, having churned out disjointed and little offensive threat in games against West Ham and Manchester United. But will that release of pressure from their five-goal haul against Bournemouth get them fired back up?
Away from home, this season Liverpool are W9 D4 L1 in the top flight, the lone defeat in that sequence, in their only league defeat all season, was against Manchester City right at the turn of the new year. The Reds are W1 D2 since then on their travels, scoring just the two goals in that sequence. What could work in Liverpool’s favour for this Merseyside derby is the form that Everton have showed against top sides this season.
Everton have played a total of eleven games this season (home and away) against sides who are currently in the top half of the table. They have posted a D3 L8 record from that sequence of games. They have played six and lost six in matches against the current top six alone. They have already suffered a 1-0 loss against Liverpool this season. So Everton have really struggled to match up to the better teams in the league.
So they are going to be under pressure in their own backyard. They have suffered three defeats in their last four at Goodison Park in the top flight. In just one of their last seven home games have they managed to take a clean sheet as well. So the vulnerabilities are clearly there from them. As much as they won’t need to be pumped up for this tremendous fixture, when it comes down to quality at the end of the day, the Toffees could struggle again against their neighbours.
It has been a long time since Everton enjoyed a success against Liverpool. It is hard to see them celebrating at the end of ninety minutes in this one. Liverpool have to turn up and do their thing to stay strong in the title race. They should have enough about them to edge the win in what could be a low-scoring game. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton this weekend are at 12/5 and with some appeal* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm).