Manchester City saw their dreams of a quadruple this season take a hit as they were knocked out of the Champions League in midweek by Spurs. Manchester City collected a 4-3 second leg home over the Lilywhites but it wasn’t enough to prevent their exit on away goals.
It was certainly one of the most dramatic matches of the entire season on the domestic or European fronts. What next as the two come back together for a big Premier League clash at the Etihad? The odds on Manchester City beating Spurs against are at 1/4* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 19th, 2019 at 7:07 pm)
Man City 1/4
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 19th, 2019 at 7:07 pm)
The intensity of the night at the Etihad in midweek was something special. It’s probably not going to get replicated in this one. The tension though is going to be high. If Manchester City can win their remaining games of the season then the title will be back in their hands. With Liverpool in such good form in the title race, the Citizens can’t afford to drop the ball.
But the nerves will surely be there. Their exit of the Champions League was disappointing. They looked to have done enough to get through, but when Raheem Sterling’s late strike was ruled out for offside, the City players and boss Pep Guardiola were left deflated. That was a big mental hit that they took against Spurs, who were, once again, excellent against City.
This is where it counts for City. But Guardiola now has a tough job of lifting his players. They start the weekend trailing leaders Liverpool by two points but with a game in hand. ALong with this one against Spurs, in their next league game, the Citizens have to go rivals Manchester United. These two games are going to be the benchmark of their title challenge during the run in.
Manchester City have beaten Liverpool, Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United at home this season. That’s no mean feat at all. It is part of an overall home record of W16 D0 L1 that they have taken this season in the top flight. They have averaged over three goals per home game this season as well in the top flight and the Citizens are currently on a seven-match winning streak on home soil now.
Manchester City have scored in all of their home games this term. The difference between this game and midweek’s is that City don’t have to come bolting out of the gates in search of an early goal. They can take their time a bit more which should leave them in better control of things at the back. In this corresponding fixture, last season Manchester City took a 4-1 win over Spurs and they have won six of their last eight home games in the league against the Lilywhites (D1 L1).
Tottenham seem to have figured out Manchester City better than anyone else this season. They were bold in their approach to the midweek meetup. They had no intention of sitting back and letting their defence try and handle things for 90 minutes. They got their rewards because of the pressure they put on the Manchester City backline which made uncharacteristic mistakes.
The star of the Tottenham show once again was Son Heung-Min who has stepped up to the plate once again in the absence of Harry Kane. Spurs have a lot to play for here. A loss and they could easily find themselves outside of the top four at the end of the weekend. The worrying thing for Spurs is their away form.
Tottenham have lost their last four league away games. Two of those were failures in big games against others in the big six, Chelsea and Liverpool, but shock defeats out at Southampton and Burnley in that sequence really saw their road form tumble.
They did still lose at the Etihad in midweek and the problem for Spurs is trying to replicate that kind of performance once again. They probably won’t find City as forgiving at the back.
The midweek meeting was just crazy. However, three of Manchester City’s four home games this season against the other big six have produced at least four goals.
Tottenham do carry an attacking threat and therefore the odds on Man City to win & both teams to score is at 7/5 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on April 19th, 2019 at 7:07 pm)
It is getting to a stressful part of the season. Teams in the hunt for winning league titles are feeling the pressure. In the Premier League with just a handful of games to go, Manchester City and Liverpool still can’t be separated.
Before the start of the season, a punter at Ladbrokes had taken Manchester City at 8/11, Norwich City at 25/1, Luton Town at 12/1 and Lincoln City at 15/2 to win their respective divisions in a £10 four-fold.
Lincoln are sat eleven points clear at the top of League Two currently, while Luton are a healthy eight points clear at the summit of League One. So they both look pretty strong to go on and win their respective titles. Norwich opened a gap of seven points at the top of the Championship last weekend with six to play.
So three of the predictions look very stable. However, with Manchester City second in the Premier League, trailing Liverpool by two points with a game in hand, the punter didn’t want to take a chance on City falling short in defending in their title.
They cashed out their bet for a huge £19,620.04 payout this weekend. The bet would have returned over £50k if all four teams picked went ahead and topped their tables.
Ante-post selections (CURRENT ODDS)
Man City to win the Premier League – 8/11 (8/15)
Norwich to win the Championship – 25/1 (1/12)
Luton to win League One – 12/1 (1/8)
Lincoln to win League Two – 15/2 (1/200)
Alex Apati of Ladbrokes said: “Our Norwich based winner has watched three of his four selections breeze their divisions in recent weeks, but Liverpool’s resilience at the top of the table has forced an early-cash out to the cool sound of £19k.”
Will the EFL cup final on Sunday, being played at Wembley, simply be a matter of it being Manchester City’s game to lose? With the Citizens in hot winning form and Chelsea team lacking confidence and direction at the moment the odds on Manchester City to beat Chelsea sees the reigning champions are 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 22nd, 2019 at 5:52 p.m.)
Man City 4/7
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 22nd, 2019 at 5:52 p.m.)
The form of Manchester City is so strong at the moment. Aside from their blip in a loss against Newcastle in the Premier League at St James’ Park, Manchester City have won thirteen of their last fourteen games played. That’s in all competitions. In midweek they fought back from 2-1 down away at Schalke in the Champions League to win 3-2 and that was with ten men as well.
So the form of City is right on point. They have won their last five games played in a row. They have scored at least three goals in four of their last five victories as well. So they are in top gear at the moment and with their recent power showing of a 6-0 Premier League win over the Blues, the odds on Man City to beat Chelsea to nil are as short as a 13/8 option* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on February 22nd, 2019 at 5:52 p.m.).
Manchester City are the reigning EFL Cup champions having taken a 3-0 win over Arsenal in last season’s showcase match. of the Citizens do go out and take a win over the Blues on the weekend, then it will be Manchester City’s fourth EFL Cup title in the last six editions. So even though this title is low down the pecking order of things that they want to win, they still go hard at it.
That also is a nod towards their depth as well. They haven’t sent out their strongest sides of course for the EFL Cup, but still have scored a total of fourteen goals in four matches, conceding just the one. They are capable of their power showings and they blew Chelsea away at the Etihad when they recently hosted them, within the first twenty minutes. Are things going to be much different for this next clash between them?
Manchester City now have some good head to head form going against Chelsea. This will be the fourth meeting between the two clubs this season actually. They met back at Wembley prior to the start of the season in the Community Shield, with City breezing to a 2-0 success.
Chelsea then became the first team to inflict a domestic defeat on Manchester City this season as they took a 2-0 win over them at Stamford Bridge. That was the first Premier League meeting between them this season, just back at the start of December. Then they met in early February at the Etihad which Manchester city producing their big 3-0 win.
It leaves Manchester City with four wins in their last five games against Chelsea in all competitions including the Community Shield. It goes a little bit deeper than that as well because in each of those four wins over the Blues in that sequence, Manchester City collected a clean sheet as well.
The season has steadily gone downhill for Chelsea after what was a strong start under new boss Maurizio Sarri. Roll on to a 2-0 home loss against Manchester United in the FA Cup just last Monday and Sarri was being booed by the Stamford Bridge faithful. The Blues are W6 L5 in their last eleven games and each of their last six have gone over 2.5 goals actually.
Really tame and uninspiring performances, with the ball being passed sideways and offering little attacking threat have made Chelsea fans restless. Combined with some bruising results, particularly away from home (Chelsea have lost four of their last five games outside of Stamford Bridge) and players looking as if they are lacking fight, it’s not a great picture for them. They were hit with a year transfer ban as well this week.
A win for the Blues and a big upset it would be too, would at least ease some pressure on them. It would put a shine on their season at least as it’s the only shot at domestic silverware that they have. However, the odds on Manchester City to beat Chelsea in the EFL Cup Final paint as strong picture. They look to be head and shoulders above the quality of Chelsea at the moment.
Manchester City will be stepping out at the Etihad on Sunday evening with a big challenge in front of them. It is Chelsea who come for a visit in this Premier League clash and the Blues have the honour of being the first side in the top flight to have inflicted a defeat on the Citizens this season.
That happened back in early December which sparked three defeats in four games for Man City. The odds on Man City to beat Chelsea in this reverse fixture is at 4/9 odds* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 7th, 2019 at 7:52 pm)
Man City 4/9
* ( betting odds taken from bet365 on February 7th, 2019 at 7:52 pm)
Back when Manchester City lost 2-0 at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea earlier this season, they went on to lose two of their following three league games. It was a run that saw them concede top spot to Liverpool in the title race. However, Manchester City returned to the top of the pile for the first time since December as they collected a midweek win at Everton.
That has left the Citizens with back to back league victories recorded following what was their fourth reverse of the season, a shock away defeat at Newcastle at the end of January. But with those back to back victories over Arsenal and then Everton, City appear to be back in the groove and really can’t be faulted with six wins in their last seven top-flight games.
It is the home form of Manchester City which is key. They have been fantastic at the Etihad once again this season having won all but one of their thirteen Premier League games there this season (L1). Manchester City set the bar so high last season that it was unlikely that they were going to live up to that, but still, they boast the best home record in this season’s top flight.
City are on a three-match winnings streak at home since their one and only slip at the Etihad this season, which was a 3-2 reverse against Crystal Palace just before Christmas. City have averaged 3.3 goals per home games this season and in each and every home fixture played, they have scored at least two goals in this season. 62% of all of Manchester City’s home games this season have ended up over 3.5 goals.
Manchester City earned a 1-0 home win in this corresponding fixture last season. Home and away they have won three of their last four games against Chelsea and each of those were with a clean sheet. Actually, both teams have scored in just two of the last seven clashes between the two clubs in all competitions.
Chelsea also have a lot at stake here as they are in a tight battle with Manchester United and Arsenal to try and lock down fourth spot. The Blues have had their woes away from Stamford Bridge recently though which has to be of concern for them. Chelsea have lost their last two games on the road, those defeats coming against Arsenal and then Bournemouth. Across those two defeats, Chelsea conceded six goals and failed to net.
Even though Chelsea pounded out a 5-0 home win over bottom side Huddersfield last weekend, they have failed to score in three of their last five games. It’s also worth a look at their away from against the better sides this season. From their five away games played this season against sides currently in the top half of table, Chelsea have taken just a W1 L4 record from those five such games.
Manchester City have to have the bit between their teeth. They haven’t found Chelsea a comfortable opponent to go up against in recent times, but the incentive is there for them. There has been a bit of momentum shift back their way in the title race without question, in 2019. This is a big game in which to prove themselves. The odds on Manchester City to beat Chelsea to nil are at 13/8* ( betting odds taken from bet365 on February 7th, 2019 at 7:52 pm)
Manchester City dropped some big points out on the road at Newcastle in midweek. They went to St James’ Park as favourites to collect the win over the Mpagies and they looked to be well on course to do just that as they scored within the first minute. But then defensive errors in the second half of the game saw it all fall apart for the Citizens.
They now have to lift themselves for the visit of Arsenal on Sunday. The odds on Manchester City to beat Arsenal by a two-goal margin in the game is at 10/3* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 31st, 2019 at 5:10 pm).
Manchester City 2/7
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 31st, 2019 at 5:10 pm).
The Citizens need to pick up some points back at home soil on the weekend in this big showdown. Manchester City suffered a shock away loss at Newcastle on Tuesday night which handed further advantage to Liverpool in the race for the title. However, the Reds themselves failed to win their game the following day, only managing a draw against Leicester, which means that City are facing a five-point deficit and not the seven it could have been.
So that was a bit of a let off for the Citizens but they will know that they can ill afford any more slip-ups. The odds on Manchester City to beat Arsenal are at 2/7 for Sunday’s game* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 31st, 2019 at 5:10 pm). Boss Pep Guardiola obviously is not going to be a happy camper at the moment and you can only imagine that he has been working tirelessly across the course of the week to get his players back focused and fired up to go out and thump Arsenal.
Manchester City need to get a bit of fire in their belly in order to stand up for themselves in this tough game. They are facing a side who carry a good attacking threat because Arsenal have averaged two goals per game on their top-flight travels this season. Manchester City have though do have a fantastic home record this season having posted a W11 L1 record in their twelve fixtures so far. Crystal Palace were the ones who pulled off the shock win at the Etihad just back in December.
Otherwise, they generally look unstoppable and Manchester City have produced themselves at least two goals in every home game played this term. The Citizens have won their last two home games, one of them that massively important duel against leaders Liverpool. They rarely fail to make a huge impression going forward really, but they just had one of those off nights against Newcastle where they lacked a little cutting edge. Back at home against a relatively flimsy Arsenal defence, you would expect them to be a little more productive.
So it has been a home win for the Citizens in all but one home game. 58% of their home games have ended up going over 3.5 goals. There have been defensive mistakes from them and they have conceded at under a goal per game on average. They have averaged 3.3 goals per home game this season. Guardiola’s troops have had their struggles at the back as they have only managed the two clean sheets in their last eleven fixtures (home and away combined). So that really has been their Achilles heel a bit.
Manchester City have been leading at the half time break in nine of their twelve home games this season as well (D2 L1). Each of their last eight Premier League fixtures at the Etihad have ended over 2.5 goals. Manchester City have not conceded a goal in either the first fifteen minutes of the final fifteen minutes of a home match this season in the top flight. They do have the best home record of all teams this season in the Premier League and they are also the top scorers. Liverpool are the only side to have produced a better defensive record.
The Gunners have had a great season on home soil in the Premier League, that cannot be argued at all. But they have been really shaky on their travels. Arsenal have failed to take a win in any of their last six league games away from the Emirates in the EPL, losing three of their last four (D1). Overall this season Arsenal have managed to win just four road games (D3 L4) and they have taken just one point from their three away games played against sides currently in the top six with them.
Arsenal have conceded exactly two goals per game on average away from home this season and they have not managed a single clean sheet on their travels. 82% of the away games that Arsenal have been involved in this season have ended up over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in 91% of their road fixtures. The Gunners have not been leading at the half time break in any away game this season.
It really isn’t about their goal output as they can challenge on that front. It is the frailties of their defence which may end up seeing them suffer another league defeat against City this season. On the opening weekend of this season’s campaign, Arsenal lost 2-0 at home games City.
Manchester City have won their last four games against Arsenal in all competitions, conceding just the one goal in that sequence. But their defence is far from watertight at the moment, so the odds on Man City to beat Arsenal & both teams to score is at 13/10* (betting odds taken from bet365 on January 31st, 2019 at 5:10 pm). Each of Man City’s last four victories over the Gunners have been by a margin of at least two goals.
Chelsea of are the next ones to stand in the way of Manchester City’s title charge. The Blues have suffered a couple of setbacks in the league recently, but they were out on the road. Maurizio Sarri’s men have an unbeaten home record in the top flight this season.
Will they be able to come up with something special to be the first ones to inflict a league defeat on the reigning champions this season? Or will it simply be business as usual for the Citizens? The odds on Manchester City to beat Chelsea are 19/20* (betting odds taken on December 7th, 2018 at 4:38 pm).
Man City 19/20
* (betting odds taken on December 7th, 2018 at 4:38 pm)
The Citizens are on a three-match winning streak against Chelsea in all competitions. After taking back to back 1-0 Premier League wins over the Londoners last season, Manchester City eased to a 2-0 win at Wembley back in August against Chelsea. That was in the FA Community Shield, although Chelsea had a lot of their first team stars missing for the game.
But that is three wins on the bounce and with no goal conceded for Man City against Chelsea. So there is a little trend running there and the Citizens are at 13/5 odds to win to nil on Saturday* (betting odds taken on December 7th, 2018 at 4:38 pm). If they can get the victory (in any fashion) it would see Pep Guardiola’s men pass another serious test on their path to a title defence.
Manchester City collected a 2-1 win at Watford in midweek which was their seventh straight win in the top flight. City have banked a clean sheet in half of their last eight league games. In total they have conceded just twice on their travels this season, helping them to a W5 D2 record away from the Etihad. Manchester City are currently on a three-match winning streak away from home.
While their scoring away from home hasn’t been anywhere near as prolific as their home scoring form, they have still averaged over two goals per game away from home. They have the quality and the scoring touch to overpower most sides. They have also proven again this season they can visit the home of other top sides in the country and produce the results. Their biggest away game this season saw them play something of a conservative and containing game at Anfield against Liverpool.
Liverpool’s high-energy, high-pressing game hurt City badly last season, but they learned from it and did a much better job this time around against them. They have also been to Spurs and Arsenal this season already and beat both North London clubs to nil. So this will complete all of their away games against the current top five this season, meaning that they have a huge advantage in having to face all their main rivals back at home later in the season.
There has been a strange trend in recent seasons between Manchester City and Chelsea. The result in the first meeting of a given season between the two clubs has been repeated in the second meeting for that season.
Chelsea won both league meetings in 2013/14
They draw both games in 2014/15
Man City won both league games in 2015/16
Chelsea won both league games in 2016/17
Man City won both league games in 2017/18
So looking back at the recent meetings, Chelsea are just W1 D1 L2 in their last four Premier League home games against Manchester City. So it isn’t a ground where the Citizens have feared to tread in recent times.
Before their first league defeat of the season, which happened at Wembley against London rivals Spurs, Chelsea boss Maurizio Sarri was becoming increasingly concerned. He was concerned about how slowly his team was starting matches, not playing as well early on in fixtures as they had been at the start of the season. He could see the standards starting to slip.
They got beaten badly by Tottenham in that game and after reviving themselves on home soil against bottom side Fulham in a West London derby, they had a shock defeat at Wolves in midweek. Chelsea were leading 1-0 at half time, but then just collapsed as Wolves tore into them in the second half of the fixture and Chelsea lost 2-1. It was a result which Sarri was totally befuddled by.
Manchester City have proven this season that they can deliver against the best in the country. It hasn’t been the same for Chelsea who have struggled for wins against the top sides. So it does look as if it has to be an advantage for the Citizens. The odds on Manchester City to beat Chelsea are 19/20 and it looks to be some decent value on the away side* (betting odds taken on December 7th, 2018 at 4:38 pm).