It is a weekend of big derby matches including this clash on Merseyside. This is one of the biggest fixtures in English football and it could have huge importance in Liverpool’s title challenge. They are the favourites to claim the win in this fixture, but Everton would love nothing more than to throw a spanner in the works of their rivals title challenge. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton at Goodison Park are 12/5* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm)
* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm)
The Reds have been far from their dominant best since the turn of the new year. They had struggled to a W1 D3 record in a four-match span. But in midweek they went into action at Anfield against Bournemouth and put five goals past the Cherries. That was the attacking display which they needed to restore a bit of confidence in their ranks. They had been looking fairly flat before that.
They are in a tight duel with Manchester City for the league title so going into this Merseyside derby, they can’t ease up on their intensity levels. Liverpool though have only drawn their last two away games, having churned out disjointed and little offensive threat in games against West Ham and Manchester United. But will that release of pressure from their five-goal haul against Bournemouth get them fired back up?
Away from home, this season Liverpool are W9 D4 L1 in the top flight, the lone defeat in that sequence, in their only league defeat all season, was against Manchester City right at the turn of the new year. The Reds are W1 D2 since then on their travels, scoring just the two goals in that sequence. What could work in Liverpool’s favour for this Merseyside derby is the form that Everton have showed against top sides this season.
Everton have played a total of eleven games this season (home and away) against sides who are currently in the top half of the table. They have posted a D3 L8 record from that sequence of games. They have played six and lost six in matches against the current top six alone. They have already suffered a 1-0 loss against Liverpool this season. So Everton have really struggled to match up to the better teams in the league.
So they are going to be under pressure in their own backyard. They have suffered three defeats in their last four at Goodison Park in the top flight. In just one of their last seven home games have they managed to take a clean sheet as well. So the vulnerabilities are clearly there from them. As much as they won’t need to be pumped up for this tremendous fixture, when it comes down to quality at the end of the day, the Toffees could struggle again against their neighbours.
It has been a long time since Everton enjoyed a success against Liverpool. It is hard to see them celebrating at the end of ninety minutes in this one. Liverpool have to turn up and do their thing to stay strong in the title race. They should have enough about them to edge the win in what could be a low-scoring game. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton this weekend are at 12/5 and with some appeal* (betting odds taken from bet365 on February 28th, 2019 at 7:36 pm).
The first Merseyside derby of the season arrives on Sunday afternoon and Liverpool will be feeling the pressure. Not only do they have the home-field advantage in the derby, but they will also be putting their unbeaten form for the season on the line.
Everton are probably the last team that the Anfield crew would want to suffer their first league defeat against this season. The odds on Liverpool to beat Everton are at 4/11* (Betting Odds were taken on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.) leaving Jurgen Klopp’s men as strong favourites. Can they deliver yet again?
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.)
The longer the unbeaten run of Liverpool goes on the longer that the pressure is going to mount on them. They are thirteen games into the season though with a W10 D3 record on the board and they just seem to be handling things fine in terms of pressure, at the moment. Last weekend they had a tricky away game at Watford and sailed through the game with flying colours, posting a 3-0 win.
Their form at Anfield this season is W5 D1 and the only team to deny them points at Anfield has been Manchester City in a 0-0 draw back at the start of October. Liverpool were all about their immense attacking power last season and while they have bettered their goal tally of 25 goals after 13 games of last season’s campaign by one, the clear difference is in their defence. Liverpool had conceded 18 goals after three games last season, this time around they have just the five against them.
Liverpool have conceded just the one goal at Anfield this season in the English top flight and that was surprisingly against relegation-candidates Cardiff. So that is a clean sheet for the Reds in all but one of their home games this season and Liverpool to win to nil suddenly looks a very handy proposition at 11/8 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on November 28th, 2018 at 6:40 p.m.). Why wouldn’t it be? No-one has conceded fewer goals in the top flight than Liverpool have this season.
But they still have their attacking prowess of course and it has gotten better over the last few games. They have netted ten goals in their last four games in the top flight and it has been nine in their last four at Anfield. There has been a bit of a trend running with Mo Salah. The Egyptian has scored the opening goal in four of Liverpool’s last five games and on the back of that he looks a valuable 13/5 first goalscorer punt.
Liverpool tend not to sit back early in games and they have been leading at the halftime break in all but one of their home games this season (the 0-0 against Man City the exception). So they are able to come out, get the goal on the board and see games out. Manchester City are the only side with a better home record than Liverpool in this season’s campaign and with the Reds unbeaten in their last seventeen Merseyside derby matches (all competitions) the omens look good for the Reds as well.
The Toffees have looked a much better unit this season under Marco Silva, and they drew great comments when they played out a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea in their last away game. They deserved the point as well. They have moved up to sixth in the table with five wins in their last seven games (D1 L1) so there has been a bit of momentum from the blue side of Merseyside. However, there is a clear disparity between their home strengths and their away strengths.
Everton have won just the one away game in the top flight this season (D3 L2) and that was out at Leicester at the start of October. If means from their four games away at sides currently above them in the top eight, Everton are winless (D2 L2), failing to score in two of those as well. The Toffees have scored almost twice as many goals at home as they have done away this season and have earned only the one clean sheet on their travels. It points to them not being ready to break their long winless spell in the league at Anfield.
What a cracking match we have to start the Premier League weekend with. English games don’t get much bigger than a Merseyside derby and Liverpool will be looking to complete the league double over their rivals this season. Can Jurgen Klopp become the first Liverpool managed to win his first three Merseyside league derbies? The Reds are unbeaten in their last 12 league encounters with the Toffees and with them boasting a great W10 D2 L1 record at Anfield this season, they are favourites for the victory.
The Toffees are looking for their first league win at Anfield since September 1999 and if they can land it, it will probably be thanks to Romelu Lukaku who is having a brilliant time of things in front of goal with a 21 league haul this season. Lukaku has fired off 11 goals in his league appearances in the 2017 calendar year and is currently on a four match scoring streak. Everton have put on great form in the second half of their season and have lost just one of their last twelve. Can Lukaku fire them to success in the derby?
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Another meaty clash between the two Merseyside giants is set for Monday night in the Premier League. Everton are seeking to end an eleven match winless streak against Liverpool in the league and what a blow to Liverpool’s title ambitions if the Toffees could deliver that elusive win in this one. The Toffees have struggled this season but they are unbeaten at Goodison Park under Ronald Koeman this season and will be in high confidence having beaten Arsenal at home in midweek. Can they drive forward with their resilient home form to derail the title bid of their bitter rivals?
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Liverpool 10/11, Draw 27/10, Everton 10/3
Everton are pretty much just playing for pride in this one as they are eleven points already behind their rivals Liverpool in the league standings. It has been such a poor season from them in terms of delivering results and even more so because they got themselves off to a flying start this term under new boss Ronald Koeman. Over their first five games of the season, Everton posted a great W4 D1 record in the Premier League, but then once their momentum was stopped with a surprise loss at Bournemouth, it has been a struggle for them.
However, they have not been beaten at home by anyone in the top flight this season. From their eight home games in the league so far this season Everton have put a W4 D4 record on the board so there has been resilience from them. In fact, Everton have recovered a league-high tally of eleven points from losing positions in the league this season, so they can fight back. They fought back in midweek from a goal down at Goodison Park against Arsenal to land a 2-1 win thanks to a late winner from Ashley Williams.
Everton have actually scored a goal in the final five minutes in four of their last five top flight matches. Three of those four goals changed the outcome of a game as well. So this could be a fairly evenly matched Merseyside derby on Monday night and this will be the seventh occasion that a Premier League Merseyside derby has been played. Everton have won just one of those previous six (W1 D2 L3). So not a great record and they have only won one of their last 19 against Liverpool, but can they turn the tables on Liverpool in this one?
Liverpool have only produced a W1 D1 L1 record in their last three games in the top flight and their slack defence has cost them points. So Everton are likely going to get chances to land the win in this one particular through Romelu Lukaku (2/1 Paddy Power anytime goalscorer) who is enjoying a fantastic season and only Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez and Chelsea’s Diego Costa have been involved in more Premier League goals than he has this term. If they can supply him, then the Toffees will have a chance in this one.
They will also be high on confidence after having beaten Arsenal at Goodison Park in midweek and they would love nothing more than to rattle the Reds. While Everton aren’t going to get in the title picture, they can disrupt Liverpool’s title challenge and they will be happy enough with that as a compromise. Seven of the last eleven meetings between Everton and Liverpool have ended in a draw so there has been very little between these two. While Liverpool carrying a big scoring threat, and over 2.5 goals at Paddy Power is a price of 7/10, they are vulnerable at the back and perhaps Everton could pull off a shock three points in this one.
It’s fair to say that not a lot has gone right for Everton in the Premier League this season. Even when they were in some hot scoring form at the start of the year, they still struggled to put wins on the board. Everton have taken back to back Premier League wins this season just once, back at the start of February. They have also failed to beat Liverpool in the last ten Premier League Merseyside derby matches, so what may make them bankable to pull off a surprise win at Anfield?
It will be down to their away form. Everton have been good on the road this season, losing just the two games all season away from Goodison Park. That’s not form to be messed with. They have not quite been at their heights in front of goal as of late, but they will need no invitation to up their game and energy levels for the Merseyside derby. Everton still have a shot at some silverware in the FA Cup but they are in a fight to book a top half of the table finish in the Premier League.
Romelu Lukaku has scored five goals in his last seven Premier League appearances against Liverpool and he should be the one to do the damage for the Toffees, running at a price of 7/4 in the anytime goalscorer market. He is without a league goal since the beginning of March, but seems to have the touch when it comes to taking on the Liverpool defence. The Reds have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last five Premier League games, so they will likely give up chances.
Another thing which may work in favour of Everton is that Liverpool have failed to put together back to back wins all season long at Anfield in the Premier League. They beat Stoke in their last home game at Anfield, so can Everton take their chances? The Toffees do need a win, they are without one in their last six games, but form can generally fall to the wayside when these two go head to head. The Toffees held out for a 1-1 draw at Goodison Park against the Reds earlier in the season and and have lost just one of their last seven against their bitter rivals.
Anfield hasn’t been a happy hunting ground for the Toffees in a long while but with Everton having lost just two away games all season, it suggests that they are going to be hard to beat on Wednesday night in the Merseyside derby. The question is, can a flash of brilliance from one of their forward players hurt the Liverpool back line? There should be a good chance from set plays where Liverpool have been weak all season and with the aerial power of Lukaku, Everton may spring a surprise.
Everton are a price of 4/1 to win the game at bookmaker Stan James and with Liverpool running at odds on, the home side may not have great appeal at around 8/11. So it would be an upset for the cards if Everton pull this one but how badly they need to bank a win and build some confidence that may see them finish the league season on a high. The draw is a 3/1 wager with online betting site Stan James.
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